Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a daytime high near 17–18°C under increasing cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and a 40–70% chance of isolated morning storms that limit solar heating. These conditions favor the market's tight cluster around 18–19°C by suppressing the normal afternoon temperature peak, while cooler advection from the south caps any surge toward 20°C or higher. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to the exact timing of precipitation and wind shifts, creating the observed near-even odds between the leading outcomes rather than a dominant single value. Updated guidance ahead of the 27th will refine resolution risk around the 17–20°C thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 27 août ?
19°C 36%
18°C 30%
20°C 19%
17°C 11%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
11%
18°C
30%
19°C
36%
20°C
19%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 36%
18°C 30%
20°C 19%
17°C 11%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
11%
18°C
30%
19°C
36%
20°C
19%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a daytime high near 17–18°C under increasing cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and a 40–70% chance of isolated morning storms that limit solar heating. These conditions favor the market's tight cluster around 18–19°C by suppressing the normal afternoon temperature peak, while cooler advection from the south caps any surge toward 20°C or higher. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to the exact timing of precipitation and wind shifts, creating the observed near-even odds between the leading outcomes rather than a dominant single value. Updated guidance ahead of the 27th will refine resolution risk around the 17–20°C thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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