Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 8?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 8?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,806 Vol.
$66,806 Vol.
8 mai 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,806 Vol.
$66,806 Vol.
8 mai 2026
20°C or below
$3,711 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,243 Vol.
No
22°C
$7,528 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,865 Vol.
No
24°C
$9,630 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$5,279 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,605 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,326 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,394 Vol.
No
29°C
$6,862 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$6,361 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$66,806Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$66,806Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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