Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, which project Chicago O'Hare highs clustering around 78-83°F on April 17 amid a strengthening upper-level ridge ushering southwesterly winds and above-normal temperatures well exceeding the 60°F April climatological average. Recent severe thunderstorms earlier this month have cleared, allowing for potential sunny skies and efficient daytime heating, boosting probabilities for 80-81°F (29.5%) as the leading outcome, though 78-79°F (23%) remains close due to lingering cloud cover risks or slight timing shifts in frontal boundaries. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing and afternoon convective potential; final 00Z model runs tonight could refine these implied odds further before resolution based on official O'Hare observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chicago le 17 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Chicago le 17 avril ?
80-81 °F 30%
78-79°F 24%
82-83 °F 19%
84-85°F 13%
NOUVEAU
$22,915 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$22,915 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
71°F ou moins
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
24%
80-81 °F
30%
82-83 °F
19%
84-85°F
13%
86-87 °F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90°F ou plus
<1%
80-81 °F 30%
78-79°F 24%
82-83 °F 19%
84-85°F 13%
NOUVEAU
$22,915 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$22,915 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
71°F ou moins
$7,296 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,992 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$1,241 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$2,150 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$1,429 Vol.
24%
80-81 °F
$1,086 Vol.
30%
82-83 °F
$1,816 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$1,233 Vol.
13%
86-87 °F
$1,676 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$1,430 Vol.
1%
90°F ou plus
$1,568 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, which project Chicago O'Hare highs clustering around 78-83°F on April 17 amid a strengthening upper-level ridge ushering southwesterly winds and above-normal temperatures well exceeding the 60°F April climatological average. Recent severe thunderstorms earlier this month have cleared, allowing for potential sunny skies and efficient daytime heating, boosting probabilities for 80-81°F (29.5%) as the leading outcome, though 78-79°F (23%) remains close due to lingering cloud cover risks or slight timing shifts in frontal boundaries. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing and afternoon convective potential; final 00Z model runs tonight could refine these implied odds further before resolution based on official O'Hare observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Volume
$22,915Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, which project Chicago O'Hare highs clustering around 78-83°F on April 17 amid a strengthening upper-level ridge ushering southwesterly winds and above-normal temperatures well exceeding the 60°F April climatological average. Recent severe thunderstorms earlier this month have cleared, allowing for potential sunny skies and efficient daytime heating, boosting probabilities for 80-81°F (29.5%) as the leading outcome, though 78-79°F (23%) remains close due to lingering cloud cover risks or slight timing shifts in frontal boundaries. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing and afternoon convective potential; final 00Z model runs tonight could refine these implied odds further before resolution based on official O'Hare observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,915Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, which project Chicago O'Hare highs clustering around 78-83°F on April 17 amid a strengthening upper-level ridge ushering southwesterly winds and above-normal temperatures well exceeding the 60°F April climatological average. Recent severe thunderstorms earlier this month have cleared, allowing for potential sunny skies and efficient daytime heating, boosting probabilities for 80-81°F (29.5%) as the leading outcome, though 78-79°F (23%) remains close due to lingering cloud cover risks or slight timing shifts in frontal boundaries. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing and afternoon convective potential; final 00Z model runs tonight could refine these implied odds further before resolution based on official O'Hare observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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