Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 25?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 25?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$199,102 Vol.
$199,102 Vol.
25 juin 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Oui
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C ou plus
Non
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$199,102 Vol.
$199,102 Vol.
25 juin 2026
27°C or below
$1,048 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,224 Vol.
No
29°C
$646 Vol.
Non
30°C
$11,096 Vol.
Non
31°C
$16,975 Vol.
Non
32°C
$71,180 Vol.
Oui
33°C
$56,439 Vol.
Non
34°C
$28,165 Vol.
Non
35°C
$8,720 Vol.
Non
36°C
$3,149 Vol.
Non
37°C ou plus
$460 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$199,102Date de fin
25 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$199,102Date de fin
25 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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