**Strong model consensus points to a high of 28–32°C (roughly 82–90°F) in Jinan on September 24, 2026, well above the 26°C threshold.** Multiple forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological sites show daytime maxima in this range under cloudy or overcast skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the warm late-September pattern persisting from prior days (highs near 32°C on the 23rd), supported by a stable warm air mass rather than rapid seasonal cooling. Historical September averages for Jinan hover around 25–28°C highs, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth. The 97.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this tight agreement across short-range models just one day out, with limited scope for major revisions. Realistic challenges would require an unforecasted cold frontal passage or significant model bias, both low-probability events given the stable steering pattern and recent observational consistency.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Jinan le 24 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Jinan le 24 septembre ?
26°C ou plus 95%
22°C 4%
23°C 4%
24°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C ou plus
95%
26°C ou plus 95%
22°C 4%
23°C 4%
24°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
3%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C ou plus
$1,268 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus points to a high of 28–32°C (roughly 82–90°F) in Jinan on September 24, 2026, well above the 26°C threshold.** Multiple forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological sites show daytime maxima in this range under cloudy or overcast skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the warm late-September pattern persisting from prior days (highs near 32°C on the 23rd), supported by a stable warm air mass rather than rapid seasonal cooling. Historical September averages for Jinan hover around 25–28°C highs, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth.
The 97.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this tight agreement across short-range models just one day out, with limited scope for major revisions. Realistic challenges would require an unforecasted cold frontal passage or significant model bias, both low-probability events given the stable steering pattern and recent observational consistency.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,268Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus points to a high of 28–32°C (roughly 82–90°F) in Jinan on September 24, 2026, well above the 26°C threshold.** Multiple forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological sites show daytime maxima in this range under cloudy or overcast skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the warm late-September pattern persisting from prior days (highs near 32°C on the 23rd), supported by a stable warm air mass rather than rapid seasonal cooling. Historical September averages for Jinan hover around 25–28°C highs, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth.
The 97.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this tight agreement across short-range models just one day out, with limited scope for major revisions. Realistic challenges would require an unforecasted cold frontal passage or significant model bias, both low-probability events given the stable steering pattern and recent observational consistency.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,268Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Strong model consensus points to a high of 28–32°C (roughly 82–90°F) in Jinan on September 24, 2026, well above the 26°C threshold.** Multiple forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological sites show daytime maxima in this range under cloudy or overcast skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the warm late-September pattern persisting from prior days (highs near 32°C on the 23rd), supported by a stable warm air mass rather than rapid seasonal cooling. Historical September averages for Jinan hover around 25–28°C highs, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth. The 97.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this tight agreement across short-range models just one day out, with limited scope for major revisions. Realistic challenges would require an unforecasted cold frontal passage or significant model bias, both low-probability events given the stable steering pattern and recent observational consistency.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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