Current numerical weather models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services project maximum temperatures of 32–34 °C in Jinan on September 7 under persistent high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover, driving the 99% market-implied probability for 26 °C or higher. This consensus aligns with observed September climatology for the region and recent model runs showing stable southerly flow without significant frontal systems. The near-certainty reflects limited forecast uncertainty only hours before the observation window, though an unanticipated increase in low-level moisture or rapid cooling from an unmodeled disturbance could theoretically lower the peak by a few degrees.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Jinan le 7 septembre ?
26°C ou plus 99.0%
24°C 5%
16°C ou moins 4%
18°C 4%
16°C ou moins
4%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
4%
26°C ou plus
99%
26°C ou plus 99.0%
24°C 5%
16°C ou moins 4%
18°C 4%
16°C ou moins
4%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
4%
26°C ou plus
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services project maximum temperatures of 32–34 °C in Jinan on September 7 under persistent high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover, driving the 99% market-implied probability for 26 °C or higher. This consensus aligns with observed September climatology for the region and recent model runs showing stable southerly flow without significant frontal systems. The near-certainty reflects limited forecast uncertainty only hours before the observation window, though an unanticipated increase in low-level moisture or rapid cooling from an unmodeled disturbance could theoretically lower the peak by a few degrees.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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