**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including AccuWeather and WeatherBug, point to an overnight low near 20–21°C in Jinan on September 7, driven by northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover moderating radiative cooling under typical early-autumn conditions.** This aligns with seasonal baselines where September lows average around 18°C, but recent model runs show limited overnight drop due to mild air advection and dew points near 15–18°C. The market's emphasis on 18°C as the top outcome (68.5% implied probability) reflects trader weighting of these consensus forecasts, while lower probabilities for 12°C or below (41.5%) and higher values like 21°C (1.1%) capture residual model spread and potential measurement variance from official stations. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Jinan le 7 septembre ?
12°C ou moins 79%
13°C 76%
14°C 74%
15°C 33%
12°C ou moins
79%
13°C
76%
14°C
74%
15°C
33%
16°C
32%
17°C
32%
18°C
69%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C ou plus
1%
12°C ou moins 79%
13°C 76%
14°C 74%
15°C 33%
12°C ou moins
79%
13°C
76%
14°C
74%
15°C
33%
16°C
32%
17°C
32%
18°C
69%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C ou plus
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including AccuWeather and WeatherBug, point to an overnight low near 20–21°C in Jinan on September 7, driven by northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover moderating radiative cooling under typical early-autumn conditions.** This aligns with seasonal baselines where September lows average around 18°C, but recent model runs show limited overnight drop due to mild air advection and dew points near 15–18°C. The market's emphasis on 18°C as the top outcome (68.5% implied probability) reflects trader weighting of these consensus forecasts, while lower probabilities for 12°C or below (41.5%) and higher values like 21°C (1.1%) capture residual model spread and potential measurement variance from official stations. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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