Recent short-range forecasts from Malaysia's meteorological agency and global models indicate a daytime maximum near 33–34°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 17, aligning with the market's leading outcomes. Persistent regional haze, elevated humidity, and increasing afternoon cloud cover and thunderstorm probability are expected to limit solar heating and prevent temperatures from exceeding typical September values. Historical data show mean daily highs around 32°C this time of year, with occasional peaks to 34°C under clearer skies. Traders appear to weigh the balance between official maximum guidance of 34°C and the moderating effects of moisture and aerosols that have kept recent readings in the low-to-mid 30s. Updated model runs and any changes in haze or convective timing ahead of the 17th remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Kuala Lumpur le 17 septembre ?
33°C 53%
34°C 24%
32°C 22%
31°C 4%
27°C ou moins
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
22%
33°C
53%
34°C
24%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou plus
<1%
33°C 53%
34°C 24%
32°C 22%
31°C 4%
27°C ou moins
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
22%
33°C
53%
34°C
24%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from Malaysia's meteorological agency and global models indicate a daytime maximum near 33–34°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 17, aligning with the market's leading outcomes. Persistent regional haze, elevated humidity, and increasing afternoon cloud cover and thunderstorm probability are expected to limit solar heating and prevent temperatures from exceeding typical September values. Historical data show mean daily highs around 32°C this time of year, with occasional peaks to 34°C under clearer skies. Traders appear to weigh the balance between official maximum guidance of 34°C and the moderating effects of moisture and aerosols that have kept recent readings in the low-to-mid 30s. Updated model runs and any changes in haze or convective timing ahead of the 17th remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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