Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C as the highest temperature in Madrid on April 18 at 100% implied probability, backed by official AEMET observational data from key stations: Madrid Aeropuerto peaked at 28.2°C around 18:00, Ciudad Universitaria at 28°C by 18:30, and Retiro at 27.7°C at 16:00. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from AEMET and models anticipating highs near 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies, delivering above-normal spring warmth atypical for mid-April averages of 18-20°C. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions uncovering a higher reading from a qualifying station before resolution, though final daily summaries rarely shift after midnight updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$115,158 Vol.
$115,158 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$115,158 Vol.
$115,158 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C as the highest temperature in Madrid on April 18 at 100% implied probability, backed by official AEMET observational data from key stations: Madrid Aeropuerto peaked at 28.2°C around 18:00, Ciudad Universitaria at 28°C by 18:30, and Retiro at 27.7°C at 16:00. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from AEMET and models anticipating highs near 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies, delivering above-normal spring warmth atypical for mid-April averages of 18-20°C. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions uncovering a higher reading from a qualifying station before resolution, though final daily summaries rarely shift after midnight updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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