**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 5 maximum temperature reflects high short-term forecast uncertainty within the city's typical July climatology.** Official guidance and model consensus point to highs centered on 22–25°C, driven by the peak North American monsoon period that favors afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms at the city's 2,240 m elevation. These storms often limit peak heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, though morning sunshine or delayed precipitation can allow brief excursions to 25–26°C. Recent model runs show light northeasterly flow and scattered showers, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around the historical July average of ~23–24°C. Resolution hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any revisions in the next 24–48 hours from agencies like Mexico's SMN.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 5 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 5 juillet ?
23°C 100.0%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$41,420 Vol.
$41,420 Vol.
5 juil. 2026
17°C ou moins
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Oui
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C ou plus
Non
23°C 100.0%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$41,420 Vol.
$41,420 Vol.
5 juil. 2026
17°C ou moins
$1,355 Vol.
Non
18°C
$1,451 Vol.
Non
19°C
$3,265 Vol.
Non
20°C
$2,416 Vol.
Non
21°C
$2,553 Vol.
Non
22°C
$3,089 Vol.
Non
23°C
$9,062 Vol.
Oui
24°C
$6,654 Vol.
Non
25°C
$5,282 Vol.
Non
26°C
$4,004 Vol.
Non
27°C ou plus
$2,290 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 5 maximum temperature reflects high short-term forecast uncertainty within the city's typical July climatology.** Official guidance and model consensus point to highs centered on 22–25°C, driven by the peak North American monsoon period that favors afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms at the city's 2,240 m elevation. These storms often limit peak heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, though morning sunshine or delayed precipitation can allow brief excursions to 25–26°C. Recent model runs show light northeasterly flow and scattered showers, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around the historical July average of ~23–24°C. Resolution hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any revisions in the next 24–48 hours from agencies like Mexico's SMN.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$41,420Date de fin
5 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 5 maximum temperature reflects high short-term forecast uncertainty within the city's typical July climatology.** Official guidance and model consensus point to highs centered on 22–25°C, driven by the peak North American monsoon period that favors afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms at the city's 2,240 m elevation. These storms often limit peak heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, though morning sunshine or delayed precipitation can allow brief excursions to 25–26°C. Recent model runs show light northeasterly flow and scattered showers, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around the historical July average of ~23–24°C. Resolution hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any revisions in the next 24–48 hours from agencies like Mexico's SMN.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,420Date de fin
5 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 5 maximum temperature reflects high short-term forecast uncertainty within the city's typical July climatology.** Official guidance and model consensus point to highs centered on 22–25°C, driven by the peak North American monsoon period that favors afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms at the city's 2,240 m elevation. These storms often limit peak heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, though morning sunshine or delayed precipitation can allow brief excursions to 25–26°C. Recent model runs show light northeasterly flow and scattered showers, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around the historical July average of ~23–24°C. Resolution hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any revisions in the next 24–48 hours from agencies like Mexico's SMN.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes