Recent forecasts from GFS and regional models show a transition to cooler westerly flow over Moscow by August 24, 2026, with daytime highs most likely reaching 19–21 °C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers. This shift follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and limits solar heating, consistent with climatological late-August averages near 19 °C. Trader emphasis on the 20 °C and 19 °C outcomes reflects model consensus on modest daytime warming before the front passes, while lower probabilities for 22 °C+ or 18 °C and below account for timing uncertainties in precipitation and wind speed that could alter the exact peak by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from official agencies will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 24 août ?
20°C 39%
19°C 28%
18°C 20%
21°C 12%
15°C ou moins
4%
16°C
11%
17°C
9%
18°C
20%
19°C
28%
20°C
39%
21°C
12%
22°C
7%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C ou plus
1%
20°C 39%
19°C 28%
18°C 20%
21°C 12%
15°C ou moins
4%
16°C
11%
17°C
9%
18°C
20%
19°C
28%
20°C
39%
21°C
12%
22°C
7%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and regional models show a transition to cooler westerly flow over Moscow by August 24, 2026, with daytime highs most likely reaching 19–21 °C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers. This shift follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and limits solar heating, consistent with climatological late-August averages near 19 °C. Trader emphasis on the 20 °C and 19 °C outcomes reflects model consensus on modest daytime warming before the front passes, while lower probabilities for 22 °C+ or 18 °C and below account for timing uncertainties in precipitation and wind speed that could alter the exact peak by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from official agencies will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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