Official observations from New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 78–79°F on June 16, 2026, driving the market-implied probability for that bracket to 100%. This outcome aligns with mid-June climatological norms for the region, where typical highs range from the mid-70s to low-80s under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited further warming. National Weather Service data confirm modest daytime heating without significant heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. The near-certain positioning reflects verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless official station data undergo rare quality-control adjustments. Scenarios that could challenge resolution remain limited to discrepancies between primary stations or last-minute data corrections.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à New York le 16 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à New York le 16 juin ?
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F ou moins <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$90,673 Vol.
$90,673 Vol.
16 juin 2026
69°F ou moins
Non
70-71°F
Non
72-73°F
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77°F
Non
78-79°F
Oui
80-81°F
Non
82-83°F
Non
84-85°F
Non
86-87 °F
Non
88°F ou plus
Non
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F ou moins <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$90,673 Vol.
$90,673 Vol.
16 juin 2026
69°F ou moins
$1,288 Vol.
Non
70-71°F
$2,211 Vol.
Non
72-73°F
$6,288 Vol.
Non
74-75°F
$13,716 Vol.
Non
76-77°F
$22,082 Vol.
Non
78-79°F
$15,484 Vol.
Oui
80-81°F
$14,871 Vol.
Non
82-83°F
$8,551 Vol.
Non
84-85°F
$5,244 Vol.
Non
86-87 °F
$572 Vol.
Non
88°F ou plus
$366 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 78–79°F on June 16, 2026, driving the market-implied probability for that bracket to 100%. This outcome aligns with mid-June climatological norms for the region, where typical highs range from the mid-70s to low-80s under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited further warming. National Weather Service data confirm modest daytime heating without significant heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. The near-certain positioning reflects verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless official station data undergo rare quality-control adjustments. Scenarios that could challenge resolution remain limited to discrepancies between primary stations or last-minute data corrections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$90,673Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 78–79°F on June 16, 2026, driving the market-implied probability for that bracket to 100%. This outcome aligns with mid-June climatological norms for the region, where typical highs range from the mid-70s to low-80s under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited further warming. National Weather Service data confirm modest daytime heating without significant heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. The near-certain positioning reflects verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless official station data undergo rare quality-control adjustments. Scenarios that could challenge resolution remain limited to discrepancies between primary stations or last-minute data corrections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$90,673Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official observations from New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 78–79°F on June 16, 2026, driving the market-implied probability for that bracket to 100%. This outcome aligns with mid-June climatological norms for the region, where typical highs range from the mid-70s to low-80s under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited further warming. National Weather Service data confirm modest daytime heating without significant heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. The near-certain positioning reflects verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless official station data undergo rare quality-control adjustments. Scenarios that could challenge resolution remain limited to discrepancies between primary stations or last-minute data corrections.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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