Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July overnight lows near 27–29°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, with the 28–29°C outcomes leading due to current ensemble model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS showing light winds, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention around July 17. Recent monitoring of potential tropical systems near the East China Sea introduces minor forecast spread, as increased moisture or rain could either suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by a degree through altered boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs where Shanghai minima cluster tightly in this range absent strong frontal passages, with model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 17 juillet ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 17 juillet ?
29°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$15,900 Vol.
$15,900 Vol.
17 juil. 2026
24°C ou moins
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Oui
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C ou plus
Non
29°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$15,900 Vol.
$15,900 Vol.
17 juil. 2026
24°C ou moins
$604 Vol.
Non
25°C
$574 Vol.
Non
26°C
$618 Vol.
Non
27°C
$1,583 Vol.
Non
28°C
$4,056 Vol.
Non
29°C
$3,702 Vol.
Oui
30°C
$1,613 Vol.
Non
31°C
$1,414 Vol.
Non
32°C
$597 Vol.
Non
33°C
$495 Vol.
Non
34°C ou plus
$644 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July overnight lows near 27–29°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, with the 28–29°C outcomes leading due to current ensemble model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS showing light winds, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention around July 17. Recent monitoring of potential tropical systems near the East China Sea introduces minor forecast spread, as increased moisture or rain could either suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by a degree through altered boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs where Shanghai minima cluster tightly in this range absent strong frontal passages, with model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$15,900Date de fin
17 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July overnight lows near 27–29°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, with the 28–29°C outcomes leading due to current ensemble model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS showing light winds, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention around July 17. Recent monitoring of potential tropical systems near the East China Sea introduces minor forecast spread, as increased moisture or rain could either suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by a degree through altered boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs where Shanghai minima cluster tightly in this range absent strong frontal passages, with model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,900Date de fin
17 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July overnight lows near 27–29°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, with the 28–29°C outcomes leading due to current ensemble model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS showing light winds, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention around July 17. Recent monitoring of potential tropical systems near the East China Sea introduces minor forecast spread, as increased moisture or rain could either suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by a degree through altered boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs where Shanghai minima cluster tightly in this range absent strong frontal passages, with model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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