**Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a minimum temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent northeast winds, light rain transitioning to partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure maintaining overnight lows in the mid-20s.** This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Nearby bins such as 23°C (22.0%) and 25°C (18.0%) reflect typical model spread and minor timing variations in cooling. The elevated 23.5% on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential stronger northerly flow or heavier overnight showers, though historical September climatology and recent observations favor milder conditions. Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities as the date approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 18 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 18 septembre ?
24°C 48%
19°C ou moins 46%
25°C 34%
26°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
46%
20°C
22%
21°C
24%
22°C
27%
23°C
21%
24°C
40%
25°C
34%
26°C
28%
27°C
23%
28°C
20%
29°C ou plus
25%
24°C 48%
19°C ou moins 46%
25°C 34%
26°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
46%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
24%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$42 Vol.
21%
24°C
$181 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
23%
28°C
$0 Vol.
20%
29°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a minimum temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent northeast winds, light rain transitioning to partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure maintaining overnight lows in the mid-20s.** This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Nearby bins such as 23°C (22.0%) and 25°C (18.0%) reflect typical model spread and minor timing variations in cooling. The elevated 23.5% on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential stronger northerly flow or heavier overnight showers, though historical September climatology and recent observations favor milder conditions. Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$223Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a minimum temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent northeast winds, light rain transitioning to partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure maintaining overnight lows in the mid-20s.** This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Nearby bins such as 23°C (22.0%) and 25°C (18.0%) reflect typical model spread and minor timing variations in cooling. The elevated 23.5% on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential stronger northerly flow or heavier overnight showers, though historical September climatology and recent observations favor milder conditions. Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$223Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a minimum temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent northeast winds, light rain transitioning to partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure maintaining overnight lows in the mid-20s.** This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Nearby bins such as 23°C (22.0%) and 25°C (18.0%) reflect typical model spread and minor timing variations in cooling. The elevated 23.5% on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential stronger northerly flow or heavier overnight showers, though historical September climatology and recent observations favor milder conditions. Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities as the date approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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