Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a typical summer marine layer dominating San Francisco on July 16, favoring a daily high near 68–69 °F at the official airport station. Persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine inversion are expected to limit warming, though slight variations in wind speed or the timing of any afternoon clearing could shift the peak by a degree or two. Recent days have shown brief offshore wind episodes that briefly elevated readings into the mid-70s, illustrating how quickly the coastal temperature gradient can respond to changes in pressure patterns. With model spread still present around the 66–71 °F range, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 16 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 16 juillet ?
68-69 °F 100.0%
57°F ou moins <1%
58-59 °F <1%
60-61 °F <1%
$46,622 Vol.
$46,622 Vol.
16 juil. 2026
57°F ou moins
Non
58-59 °F
Non
60-61 °F
Non
62-63°F
Non
64-65°F
Non
66-67 °F
Non
68-69 °F
Oui
70-71°F
Non
72-73°F
Non
74-75 °F
Non
76°F ou plus
Non
68-69 °F 100.0%
57°F ou moins <1%
58-59 °F <1%
60-61 °F <1%
$46,622 Vol.
$46,622 Vol.
16 juil. 2026
57°F ou moins
$2,507 Vol.
Non
58-59 °F
$3,140 Vol.
Non
60-61 °F
$2,083 Vol.
Non
62-63°F
$4,487 Vol.
Non
64-65°F
$6,103 Vol.
Non
66-67 °F
$5,055 Vol.
Non
68-69 °F
$8,322 Vol.
Oui
70-71°F
$5,679 Vol.
Non
72-73°F
$2,661 Vol.
Non
74-75 °F
$2,234 Vol.
Non
76°F ou plus
$4,352 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a typical summer marine layer dominating San Francisco on July 16, favoring a daily high near 68–69 °F at the official airport station. Persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine inversion are expected to limit warming, though slight variations in wind speed or the timing of any afternoon clearing could shift the peak by a degree or two. Recent days have shown brief offshore wind episodes that briefly elevated readings into the mid-70s, illustrating how quickly the coastal temperature gradient can respond to changes in pressure patterns. With model spread still present around the 66–71 °F range, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$46,622Date de fin
16 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a typical summer marine layer dominating San Francisco on July 16, favoring a daily high near 68–69 °F at the official airport station. Persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine inversion are expected to limit warming, though slight variations in wind speed or the timing of any afternoon clearing could shift the peak by a degree or two. Recent days have shown brief offshore wind episodes that briefly elevated readings into the mid-70s, illustrating how quickly the coastal temperature gradient can respond to changes in pressure patterns. With model spread still present around the 66–71 °F range, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46,622Date de fin
16 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a typical summer marine layer dominating San Francisco on July 16, favoring a daily high near 68–69 °F at the official airport station. Persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine inversion are expected to limit warming, though slight variations in wind speed or the timing of any afternoon clearing could shift the peak by a degree or two. Recent days have shown brief offshore wind episodes that briefly elevated readings into the mid-70s, illustrating how quickly the coastal temperature gradient can respond to changes in pressure patterns. With model spread still present around the 66–71 °F range, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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