**Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus have locked trader sentiment on a 32°C peak for Paris on June 17, 2026.** Clear skies, light winds, and strong solar insolation under a building heatwave driven by subtropical air advection support afternoon maxima near this level at official stations such as Paris-Montsouris. The urban heat island effect may add a localized degree in central areas, while minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or thin high cloud cover account for the narrow probability spread around adjacent thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering with limited upside or downside risk on this date. Only substantial forecast revisions from updated soundings or an unexpected cloud build-up before peak heating could realistically shift the daily maximum away from 32°C before official observations close the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on June 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 17?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$146,653 Vol.
$146,653 Vol.
17 juin 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$146,653 Vol.
$146,653 Vol.
17 juin 2026
27°C or below
$10,019 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,993 Vol.
No
29°C
$16,254 Vol.
No
30°C
$17,861 Vol.
No
31°C
$23,998 Vol.
No
32°C
$24,090 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$20,383 Vol.
No
34°C
$15,305 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,180 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,056 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$3,513 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus have locked trader sentiment on a 32°C peak for Paris on June 17, 2026.** Clear skies, light winds, and strong solar insolation under a building heatwave driven by subtropical air advection support afternoon maxima near this level at official stations such as Paris-Montsouris. The urban heat island effect may add a localized degree in central areas, while minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or thin high cloud cover account for the narrow probability spread around adjacent thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering with limited upside or downside risk on this date. Only substantial forecast revisions from updated soundings or an unexpected cloud build-up before peak heating could realistically shift the daily maximum away from 32°C before official observations close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$146,653Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus have locked trader sentiment on a 32°C peak for Paris on June 17, 2026.** Clear skies, light winds, and strong solar insolation under a building heatwave driven by subtropical air advection support afternoon maxima near this level at official stations such as Paris-Montsouris. The urban heat island effect may add a localized degree in central areas, while minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or thin high cloud cover account for the narrow probability spread around adjacent thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering with limited upside or downside risk on this date. Only substantial forecast revisions from updated soundings or an unexpected cloud build-up before peak heating could realistically shift the daily maximum away from 32°C before official observations close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$146,653Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
**Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus have locked trader sentiment on a 32°C peak for Paris on June 17, 2026.** Clear skies, light winds, and strong solar insolation under a building heatwave driven by subtropical air advection support afternoon maxima near this level at official stations such as Paris-Montsouris. The urban heat island effect may add a localized degree in central areas, while minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or thin high cloud cover account for the narrow probability spread around adjacent thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering with limited upside or downside risk on this date. Only substantial forecast revisions from updated soundings or an unexpected cloud build-up before peak heating could realistically shift the daily maximum away from 32°C before official observations close the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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