Official hourly observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at 30°C around midday, with subsequent readings falling to 27°C by evening amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 80%. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, which predicted mild warming under typical early May subtropical conditions, where average highs hover near 29.5°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 30°C reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of quality-controlled data, leaving negligible upside risk. Realistic challenges include a rare post hoc data revision uncovering a brief 31°C spike or measurement anomaly, though standardized protocols minimize such occurrences; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 7?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 7?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$85,756 Vol.
$85,756 Vol.
7 mai 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$85,756 Vol.
$85,756 Vol.
7 mai 2026
23°C or below
$669 Vol.
No
24°C
$989 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,136 Vol.
No
26°C
$8,232 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,734 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,558 Vol.
No
29°C
$15,841 Vol.
No
30°C
$15,406 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$11,700 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,506 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$6,986 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at 30°C around midday, with subsequent readings falling to 27°C by evening amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 80%. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, which predicted mild warming under typical early May subtropical conditions, where average highs hover near 29.5°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 30°C reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of quality-controlled data, leaving negligible upside risk. Realistic challenges include a rare post hoc data revision uncovering a brief 31°C spike or measurement anomaly, though standardized protocols minimize such occurrences; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$85,756Date de fin
7 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at 30°C around midday, with subsequent readings falling to 27°C by evening amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 80%. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, which predicted mild warming under typical early May subtropical conditions, where average highs hover near 29.5°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 30°C reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of quality-controlled data, leaving negligible upside risk. Realistic challenges include a rare post hoc data revision uncovering a brief 31°C spike or measurement anomaly, though standardized protocols minimize such occurrences; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$85,756Date de fin
7 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official hourly observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at 30°C around midday, with subsequent readings falling to 27°C by evening amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 80%. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, which predicted mild warming under typical early May subtropical conditions, where average highs hover near 29.5°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 30°C reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of quality-controlled data, leaving negligible upside risk. Realistic challenges include a rare post hoc data revision uncovering a brief 31°C spike or measurement anomaly, though standardized protocols minimize such occurrences; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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