Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 8 mai ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 8 mai ?
19°C 100.0%
12°C ou moins <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$84,905 Vol.
$84,905 Vol.
8 mai 2026
12°C ou moins
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Oui
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C ou plus
Non
19°C 100.0%
12°C ou moins <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$84,905 Vol.
$84,905 Vol.
8 mai 2026
12°C ou moins
$931 Vol.
Non
13°C
$1,471 Vol.
Non
14°C
$1,582 Vol.
Non
15°C
$1,506 Vol.
Non
16°C
$5,845 Vol.
Non
17°C
$10,528 Vol.
Non
18°C
$18,600 Vol.
Non
19°C
$13,935 Vol.
Oui
20°C
$13,251 Vol.
Non
21°C
$10,955 Vol.
Non
22°C ou plus
$6,302 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$84,905Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$84,905Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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