Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured victory in Illinois's March 17, 2026, Democratic U.S. Senate primary for retiring Sen. Dick Durbin's open seat, capturing approximately 40% of the vote to Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's 33%, a margin of 6.8–7.7 percentage points across final tallies from over 1.1 million ballots. Trader consensus reflects certified results from major outlets like the Associated Press and state canvass, confirming Stratton's edge through strong Chicago and downstate turnout bolstered by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC support, overcoming Krishnamoorthi's suburban strength and fundraising lead. Late polls showing Stratton's surge solidified pre-election positioning. Only an improbable recount altering thousands of votes could shift the 6–9% bin, with no disputes reported as of mid-April.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourStratton 6–9 % 100.0%
Krishnamoorthi 9 %+ <1%
Krishnamoorthi 6–9 % <1%
Krishnamoorthi 3–6 % <1%
$27,646 Vol.
$27,646 Vol.
16 mars 2026
Krishnamoorthi 9 %+
Non
Krishnamoorthi 6–9 %
Non
Krishnamoorthi 3–6 %
Non
Krishnamoorthi <3%
Non
Stratton <3%
Non
Stratton 3–6 %
Non
Stratton 6–9 %
Oui
Stratton 9 %+
Non
Autre
Non
Stratton 6–9 % 100.0%
Krishnamoorthi 9 %+ <1%
Krishnamoorthi 6–9 % <1%
Krishnamoorthi 3–6 % <1%
$27,646 Vol.
$27,646 Vol.
16 mars 2026
Krishnamoorthi 9 %+
$3,806 Vol.
Non
Krishnamoorthi 6–9 %
$0 Vol.
Non
Krishnamoorthi 3–6 %
$1,877 Vol.
Non
Krishnamoorthi <3%
$0 Vol.
Non
Stratton <3%
$3,360 Vol.
Non
Stratton 3–6 %
$5,357 Vol.
Non
Stratton 6–9 %
$8,501 Vol.
Oui
Stratton 9 %+
$2,527 Vol.
Non
Autre
$2,219 Vol.
Non
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured victory in Illinois's March 17, 2026, Democratic U.S. Senate primary for retiring Sen. Dick Durbin's open seat, capturing approximately 40% of the vote to Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's 33%, a margin of 6.8–7.7 percentage points across final tallies from over 1.1 million ballots. Trader consensus reflects certified results from major outlets like the Associated Press and state canvass, confirming Stratton's edge through strong Chicago and downstate turnout bolstered by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC support, overcoming Krishnamoorthi's suburban strength and fundraising lead. Late polls showing Stratton's surge solidified pre-election positioning. Only an improbable recount altering thousands of votes could shift the 6–9% bin, with no disputes reported as of mid-April.
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Marché ouvert : Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Volume
$27,646Date de fin
17 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured victory in Illinois's March 17, 2026, Democratic U.S. Senate primary for retiring Sen. Dick Durbin's open seat, capturing approximately 40% of the vote to Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's 33%, a margin of 6.8–7.7 percentage points across final tallies from over 1.1 million ballots. Trader consensus reflects certified results from major outlets like the Associated Press and state canvass, confirming Stratton's edge through strong Chicago and downstate turnout bolstered by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC support, overcoming Krishnamoorthi's suburban strength and fundraising lead. Late polls showing Stratton's surge solidified pre-election positioning. Only an improbable recount altering thousands of votes could shift the 6–9% bin, with no disputes reported as of mid-April.
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$27,646Date de fin
17 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured victory in Illinois's March 17, 2026, Democratic U.S. Senate primary for retiring Sen. Dick Durbin's open seat, capturing approximately 40% of the vote to Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's 33%, a margin of 6.8–7.7 percentage points across final tallies from over 1.1 million ballots. Trader consensus reflects certified results from major outlets like the Associated Press and state canvass, confirming Stratton's edge through strong Chicago and downstate turnout bolstered by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC support, overcoming Krishnamoorthi's suburban strength and fundraising lead. Late polls showing Stratton's surge solidified pre-election positioning. Only an improbable recount altering thousands of votes could shift the 6–9% bin, with no disputes reported as of mid-April.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 25%-30%?
24%
Ed Markey va-t-il remporter la primaire démocrate du Sénat du Massachusetts avec une avance de 25 à 30 % ?
50%
Oui
Le candidat du Parti démocrate remportera-t-il l'élection du gouverneur de l'Illinois en 2026 avec une avance de 20% à 25% ?
19%
Oui
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