Israeli forces have conducted airstrikes on Beirut and its southern suburbs earlier in the 2026 Lebanon conflict but maintain ground operations focused on southern buffer zones near the border, where they occupy select towns amid a fragile U.S.-brokered ceasefire framework. Recent developments include multiple rounds of Rome talks aimed at expanding pilot withdrawal areas, Lebanese army deployments in vacated southern sites like Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh, and isolated incidents such as reported Israeli shots near Lebanese troops or retaliatory strikes following soldier deaths. Hezbollah has rejected disarmament conditions tied to any full Israeli pullback, while both sides continue limited strikes and demolitions in the south. These factors sustain trader focus on southern containment rather than northward escalation toward Beirut, with any shift hinging on breakdowns in diplomacy or major Hezbollah actions in the coming weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes forces israéliennes entrent dans Beyrouth par... ?
Les forces israéliennes entrent dans Beyrouth par... ?
$137,308 Vol.
31 août 2026
31 août
1%
$137,308 Vol.
31 août
$7,395 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces have conducted airstrikes on Beirut and its southern suburbs earlier in the 2026 Lebanon conflict but maintain ground operations focused on southern buffer zones near the border, where they occupy select towns amid a fragile U.S.-brokered ceasefire framework. Recent developments include multiple rounds of Rome talks aimed at expanding pilot withdrawal areas, Lebanese army deployments in vacated southern sites like Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh, and isolated incidents such as reported Israeli shots near Lebanese troops or retaliatory strikes following soldier deaths. Hezbollah has rejected disarmament conditions tied to any full Israeli pullback, while both sides continue limited strikes and demolitions in the south. These factors sustain trader focus on southern containment rather than northward escalation toward Beirut, with any shift hinging on breakdowns in diplomacy or major Hezbollah actions in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Volume
$137,308Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces have conducted airstrikes on Beirut and its southern suburbs earlier in the 2026 Lebanon conflict but maintain ground operations focused on southern buffer zones near the border, where they occupy select towns amid a fragile U.S.-brokered ceasefire framework. Recent developments include multiple rounds of Rome talks aimed at expanding pilot withdrawal areas, Lebanese army deployments in vacated southern sites like Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh, and isolated incidents such as reported Israeli shots near Lebanese troops or retaliatory strikes following soldier deaths. Hezbollah has rejected disarmament conditions tied to any full Israeli pullback, while both sides continue limited strikes and demolitions in the south. These factors sustain trader focus on southern containment rather than northward escalation toward Beirut, with any shift hinging on breakdowns in diplomacy or major Hezbollah actions in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$137,308Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces have conducted airstrikes on Beirut and its southern suburbs earlier in the 2026 Lebanon conflict but maintain ground operations focused on southern buffer zones near the border, where they occupy select towns amid a fragile U.S.-brokered ceasefire framework. Recent developments include multiple rounds of Rome talks aimed at expanding pilot withdrawal areas, Lebanese army deployments in vacated southern sites like Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh, and isolated incidents such as reported Israeli shots near Lebanese troops or retaliatory strikes following soldier deaths. Hezbollah has rejected disarmament conditions tied to any full Israeli pullback, while both sides continue limited strikes and demolitions in the south. These factors sustain trader focus on southern containment rather than northward escalation toward Beirut, with any shift hinging on breakdowns in diplomacy or major Hezbollah actions in the coming weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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