Mojtaba Khamenei has served as Iran's Supreme Leader since his March 2026 appointment following his father's death in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes, yet he has maintained a low public profile amid security threats and reported injuries. Official statements and written messages have continued, but verifiable live or dated photographic and video evidence of appearances has been absent or limited to undated clips released by state media in early August 2026 to address health rumors. Traders price limited near-term probability for a qualifying appearance by late August or September due to ongoing regional conflict, regime caution over potential targeting, and uncertainty around his physical condition or effective visibility. Upcoming diplomatic or commemorative events could prompt a shift, though structural barriers tied to wartime posture remain the dominant constraint reflected in current market consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourApparition publique de Mojtaba Khamenei par... ?
$6,600,025 Vol.
31 août
8%
30 septembre
15%
31 décembre
33%
$6,600,025 Vol.
31 août
8%
30 septembre
15%
31 décembre
33%
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Marché ouvert : Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei has served as Iran's Supreme Leader since his March 2026 appointment following his father's death in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes, yet he has maintained a low public profile amid security threats and reported injuries. Official statements and written messages have continued, but verifiable live or dated photographic and video evidence of appearances has been absent or limited to undated clips released by state media in early August 2026 to address health rumors. Traders price limited near-term probability for a qualifying appearance by late August or September due to ongoing regional conflict, regime caution over potential targeting, and uncertainty around his physical condition or effective visibility. Upcoming diplomatic or commemorative events could prompt a shift, though structural barriers tied to wartime posture remain the dominant constraint reflected in current market consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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