Recent ECMWF and multi-model forecasts for Amsterdam on September 24 point to a minimum near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, with high pressure supporting modest radiative cooling overnight. This range aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 11°C, and current guidance shows no strong cold advection or clear-sky extremes that would push probabilities toward 9°C or below. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings expected later today will refine the exact threshold ahead of overnight observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 24 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 24 septembre ?
10°C 40%
9°C 37%
13°C 37%
14°C 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
13%
8°C
13%
9°C
37%
10°C
40%
11°C
24%
12°C
22%
13°C
37%
14°C
37%
15°C
37%
16°C
2%
17°C ou plus
2%
10°C 40%
9°C 37%
13°C 37%
14°C 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
13%
8°C
$0 Vol.
13%
9°C
$0 Vol.
37%
10°C
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
24%
12°C
$131 Vol.
22%
13°C
$0 Vol.
37%
14°C
$0 Vol.
37%
15°C
$0 Vol.
37%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and multi-model forecasts for Amsterdam on September 24 point to a minimum near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, with high pressure supporting modest radiative cooling overnight. This range aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 11°C, and current guidance shows no strong cold advection or clear-sky extremes that would push probabilities toward 9°C or below. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings expected later today will refine the exact threshold ahead of overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$131Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and multi-model forecasts for Amsterdam on September 24 point to a minimum near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, with high pressure supporting modest radiative cooling overnight. This range aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 11°C, and current guidance shows no strong cold advection or clear-sky extremes that would push probabilities toward 9°C or below. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings expected later today will refine the exact threshold ahead of overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$131Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and multi-model forecasts for Amsterdam on September 24 point to a minimum near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, with high pressure supporting modest radiative cooling overnight. This range aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 11°C, and current guidance shows no strong cold advection or clear-sky extremes that would push probabilities toward 9°C or below. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings expected later today will refine the exact threshold ahead of overnight observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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