**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 11, 2026, reflecting model agreement on stable subtropical conditions.** Multiple forecasts show overnight lows settling near 23–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical early-autumn humidity levels, consistent with historical September averages around 24–25°C. Authoritative sources indicate no major frontal systems or significant radiative cooling events are expected to push temperatures lower. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 25°C captures this tight clustering of official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift, though current model runs show limited divergence and high confidence in the narrow range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 11 septembre ?
25°C 98%
24°C 3%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
$731 Vol.
$731 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Oui
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C ou plus
Non
25°C 98%
24°C 3%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
$731 Vol.
$731 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$196 Vol.
Non
20°C
$20 Vol.
Non
21°C
$138 Vol.
Non
22°C
$73 Vol.
Non
23°C
$105 Vol.
Non
24°C
$57 Vol.
Non
25°C
$77 Vol.
Oui
26°C
$15 Vol.
Non
27°C
$0 Vol.
Non
28°C
$25 Vol.
Non
29°C ou plus
$25 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 11, 2026, reflecting model agreement on stable subtropical conditions.** Multiple forecasts show overnight lows settling near 23–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical early-autumn humidity levels, consistent with historical September averages around 24–25°C. Authoritative sources indicate no major frontal systems or significant radiative cooling events are expected to push temperatures lower. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 25°C captures this tight clustering of official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift, though current model runs show limited divergence and high confidence in the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$731Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 11, 2026, reflecting model agreement on stable subtropical conditions.** Multiple forecasts show overnight lows settling near 23–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical early-autumn humidity levels, consistent with historical September averages around 24–25°C. Authoritative sources indicate no major frontal systems or significant radiative cooling events are expected to push temperatures lower. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 25°C captures this tight clustering of official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift, though current model runs show limited divergence and high confidence in the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$731Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 11, 2026, reflecting model agreement on stable subtropical conditions.** Multiple forecasts show overnight lows settling near 23–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical early-autumn humidity levels, consistent with historical September averages around 24–25°C. Authoritative sources indicate no major frontal systems or significant radiative cooling events are expected to push temperatures lower. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 25°C captures this tight clustering of official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift, though current model runs show limited divergence and high confidence in the narrow range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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