**Latest model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on September 25, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under humid, light-wind conditions.** This setup favors overnight lows in the mid-20s °C range, consistent with several ensemble forecasts showing 26–27°C. Historical late-September averages sit around 23–24°C, but the current pattern lacks strong cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences that could drive sharper drops. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 20°C or below (46.0%) and 30°C or higher (43.5%), reflecting trader recognition that small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or steering patterns could alter the outcome. Specific probabilities cluster around 25–27°C, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band. Final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations and any last model updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 25 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 25 septembre ?
30°C ou plus 91%
20°C ou moins 82%
23°C 39%
24°C 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
82%
21°C
13%
22°C
13%
23°C
39%
24°C
38%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
34%
28°C
38%
29°C
18%
30°C ou plus
91%
30°C ou plus 91%
20°C ou moins 82%
23°C 39%
24°C 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
82%
21°C
$0 Vol.
13%
22°C
$0 Vol.
13%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
38%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$10 Vol.
34%
28°C
$0 Vol.
38%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on September 25, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under humid, light-wind conditions.**
This setup favors overnight lows in the mid-20s °C range, consistent with several ensemble forecasts showing 26–27°C. Historical late-September averages sit around 23–24°C, but the current pattern lacks strong cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences that could drive sharper drops. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 20°C or below (46.0%) and 30°C or higher (43.5%), reflecting trader recognition that small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or steering patterns could alter the outcome. Specific probabilities cluster around 25–27°C, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band. Final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations and any last model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$10Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on September 25, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under humid, light-wind conditions.**
This setup favors overnight lows in the mid-20s °C range, consistent with several ensemble forecasts showing 26–27°C. Historical late-September averages sit around 23–24°C, but the current pattern lacks strong cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences that could drive sharper drops. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 20°C or below (46.0%) and 30°C or higher (43.5%), reflecting trader recognition that small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or steering patterns could alter the outcome. Specific probabilities cluster around 25–27°C, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band. Final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations and any last model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...**Latest model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on September 25, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under humid, light-wind conditions.** This setup favors overnight lows in the mid-20s °C range, consistent with several ensemble forecasts showing 26–27°C. Historical late-September averages sit around 23–24°C, but the current pattern lacks strong cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences that could drive sharper drops. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 20°C or below (46.0%) and 30°C or higher (43.5%), reflecting trader recognition that small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or steering patterns could alter the outcome. Specific probabilities cluster around 25–27°C, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band. Final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations and any last model updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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