Official meteorological records from São Paulo stations, including data showing a minimum of 13.9°C on August 23, 2026, underpin the market's near-certain 14°C resolution at 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipating stable winter conditions with overnight lows near seasonal norms of 12–14°C, absent any cold front or radiative cooling anomalies. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of ground-based thermometer networks and the absence of conflicting observational reports. Resolution could shift only if official agencies revise the daily minimum through quality control or adopt a different reference station, though such adjustments remain rare for this timeframe.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Sao Paulo le 23 août ?
La température la plus basse à Sao Paulo le 23 août ?
14°C 100.0%
13°C 1.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$2,194 Vol.
$2,194 Vol.
23 août 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
13°C 1.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$2,194 Vol.
$2,194 Vol.
23 août 2026
8°C or below
$140 Vol.
No
9°C
$85 Vol.
No
10°C
$5 Vol.
No
11°C
$210 Vol.
No
12°C
$148 Vol.
No
13°C
$5 Vol.
No
14°C
$625 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$90 Vol.
No
16°C
$590 Vol.
No
17°C
$115 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$181 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from São Paulo stations, including data showing a minimum of 13.9°C on August 23, 2026, underpin the market's near-certain 14°C resolution at 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipating stable winter conditions with overnight lows near seasonal norms of 12–14°C, absent any cold front or radiative cooling anomalies. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of ground-based thermometer networks and the absence of conflicting observational reports. Resolution could shift only if official agencies revise the daily minimum through quality control or adopt a different reference station, though such adjustments remain rare for this timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,194Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from São Paulo stations, including data showing a minimum of 13.9°C on August 23, 2026, underpin the market's near-certain 14°C resolution at 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipating stable winter conditions with overnight lows near seasonal norms of 12–14°C, absent any cold front or radiative cooling anomalies. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of ground-based thermometer networks and the absence of conflicting observational reports. Resolution could shift only if official agencies revise the daily minimum through quality control or adopt a different reference station, though such adjustments remain rare for this timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,194Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official meteorological records from São Paulo stations, including data showing a minimum of 13.9°C on August 23, 2026, underpin the market's near-certain 14°C resolution at 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipating stable winter conditions with overnight lows near seasonal norms of 12–14°C, absent any cold front or radiative cooling anomalies. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of ground-based thermometer networks and the absence of conflicting observational reports. Resolution could shift only if official agencies revise the daily minimum through quality control or adopt a different reference station, though such adjustments remain rare for this timeframe.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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