Recent forecasts from multiple models show Shanghai's overnight low on September 24 stabilizing near 24°C under easterly flow from the East China Sea and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors the market's leading 24°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability, with 23°C and 25°C as secondary contenders. Historical September climatology supports typical minimums in this range during the seasonal transition, though model consensus on dew points near 20°C and light winds suggests limited further drops. Updated runs through the next 24 hours will refine any adjustments from subtle steering changes or clearer intervals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 24 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 24 septembre ?
24°C 52%
23°C 23%
25°C 19%
22°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
23%
24°C
52%
25°C
19%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 52%
23°C 23%
25°C 19%
22°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
$41 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$15 Vol.
1%
20°C
$9 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$108 Vol.
5%
22°C
$55 Vol.
10%
23°C
$913 Vol.
23%
24°C
$1,110 Vol.
52%
25°C
$499 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C ou plus
$9 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Shanghai's overnight low on September 24 stabilizing near 24°C under easterly flow from the East China Sea and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors the market's leading 24°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability, with 23°C and 25°C as secondary contenders. Historical September climatology supports typical minimums in this range during the seasonal transition, though model consensus on dew points near 20°C and light winds suggests limited further drops. Updated runs through the next 24 hours will refine any adjustments from subtle steering changes or clearer intervals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,758Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Shanghai's overnight low on September 24 stabilizing near 24°C under easterly flow from the East China Sea and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors the market's leading 24°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability, with 23°C and 25°C as secondary contenders. Historical September climatology supports typical minimums in this range during the seasonal transition, though model consensus on dew points near 20°C and light winds suggests limited further drops. Updated runs through the next 24 hours will refine any adjustments from subtle steering changes or clearer intervals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,758Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models show Shanghai's overnight low on September 24 stabilizing near 24°C under easterly flow from the East China Sea and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors the market's leading 24°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability, with 23°C and 25°C as secondary contenders. Historical September climatology supports typical minimums in this range during the seasonal transition, though model consensus on dew points near 20°C and light winds suggests limited further drops. Updated runs through the next 24 hours will refine any adjustments from subtle steering changes or clearer intervals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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