**Trader consensus on an 8–9°C minimum for Warsaw on September 12 reflects the narrow spread between numerical weather prediction outputs for the overnight radiative cooling period.** Light winds under 3 m/s and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight permitted efficient longwave radiation loss from the surface, with dew points near 8–10°C limiting further drops. Model runs show subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island retention, producing minimums clustered at the 8–9°C threshold rather than the 7°C or 10°C+ alternatives. Official observations from Chopin Airport and city stations, combined with the final 00–06 UTC window, will determine resolution, as even a 1°C variance in recorded low distinguishes the leading outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Varsovie le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Varsovie le 12 septembre ?
7°C ou moins <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$1,204 Vol.
$1,204 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
Non
8°C
Non
9°C
Oui
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C ou plus
Non
7°C ou moins <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$1,204 Vol.
$1,204 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$39 Vol.
Non
8°C
$7 Vol.
Non
9°C
$234 Vol.
Oui
10°C
$236 Vol.
Non
11°C
$213 Vol.
Non
12°C
$366 Vol.
Non
13°C
$22 Vol.
Non
14°C
$22 Vol.
Non
15°C
$22 Vol.
Non
16°C
$22 Vol.
Non
17°C ou plus
$22 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on an 8–9°C minimum for Warsaw on September 12 reflects the narrow spread between numerical weather prediction outputs for the overnight radiative cooling period.** Light winds under 3 m/s and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight permitted efficient longwave radiation loss from the surface, with dew points near 8–10°C limiting further drops. Model runs show subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island retention, producing minimums clustered at the 8–9°C threshold rather than the 7°C or 10°C+ alternatives. Official observations from Chopin Airport and city stations, combined with the final 00–06 UTC window, will determine resolution, as even a 1°C variance in recorded low distinguishes the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,204Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on an 8–9°C minimum for Warsaw on September 12 reflects the narrow spread between numerical weather prediction outputs for the overnight radiative cooling period.** Light winds under 3 m/s and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight permitted efficient longwave radiation loss from the surface, with dew points near 8–10°C limiting further drops. Model runs show subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island retention, producing minimums clustered at the 8–9°C threshold rather than the 7°C or 10°C+ alternatives. Official observations from Chopin Airport and city stations, combined with the final 00–06 UTC window, will determine resolution, as even a 1°C variance in recorded low distinguishes the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,204Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader consensus on an 8–9°C minimum for Warsaw on September 12 reflects the narrow spread between numerical weather prediction outputs for the overnight radiative cooling period.** Light winds under 3 m/s and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight permitted efficient longwave radiation loss from the surface, with dew points near 8–10°C limiting further drops. Model runs show subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island retention, producing minimums clustered at the 8–9°C threshold rather than the 7°C or 10°C+ alternatives. Official observations from Chopin Airport and city stations, combined with the final 00–06 UTC window, will determine resolution, as even a 1°C variance in recorded low distinguishes the leading outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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