Meteorological models, including GFS runs, show clear skies and light winds overnight in Warsaw promoting strong radiative cooling, driving the market-implied 99.5% odds for a 6°C low on September 13. This aligns with current observations trending toward that threshold by early morning, consistent with autumnal patterns where surface temperatures drop rapidly under stable high pressure. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of forecast outputs around this value, with minimal divergence in ensemble members. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected cloud buildup or a shift in wind patterns that limits cooling, potentially pushing the recorded minimum higher and altering resolution if official station data deviates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Varsovie le 13 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Varsovie le 13 septembre ?
6°C 99.4%
5°C ou moins 1.0%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
5°C ou moins
1%
6°C
99%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C ou plus
<1%
6°C 99.4%
5°C ou moins 1.0%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
5°C ou moins
$212 Vol.
1%
6°C
$323 Vol.
99%
7°C
$566 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$74 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$304 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
15°C ou plus
$33 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological models, including GFS runs, show clear skies and light winds overnight in Warsaw promoting strong radiative cooling, driving the market-implied 99.5% odds for a 6°C low on September 13. This aligns with current observations trending toward that threshold by early morning, consistent with autumnal patterns where surface temperatures drop rapidly under stable high pressure. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of forecast outputs around this value, with minimal divergence in ensemble members. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected cloud buildup or a shift in wind patterns that limits cooling, potentially pushing the recorded minimum higher and altering resolution if official station data deviates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,875Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological models, including GFS runs, show clear skies and light winds overnight in Warsaw promoting strong radiative cooling, driving the market-implied 99.5% odds for a 6°C low on September 13. This aligns with current observations trending toward that threshold by early morning, consistent with autumnal patterns where surface temperatures drop rapidly under stable high pressure. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of forecast outputs around this value, with minimal divergence in ensemble members. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected cloud buildup or a shift in wind patterns that limits cooling, potentially pushing the recorded minimum higher and altering resolution if official station data deviates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,875Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Meteorological models, including GFS runs, show clear skies and light winds overnight in Warsaw promoting strong radiative cooling, driving the market-implied 99.5% odds for a 6°C low on September 13. This aligns with current observations trending toward that threshold by early morning, consistent with autumnal patterns where surface temperatures drop rapidly under stable high pressure. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of forecast outputs around this value, with minimal divergence in ensemble members. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected cloud buildup or a shift in wind patterns that limits cooling, potentially pushing the recorded minimum higher and altering resolution if official station data deviates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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