Current forecast models from sources including MetService-aligned services and international ensembles indicate an overnight low in Wellington near 12–13°C on September 3, with trader-implied odds reflecting that narrow range. Persistent northwesterly flow, elevated dew points near 11–12°C, and partial cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while a gradual wind shift toward the south may allow slightly greater heat loss in clearer intervals. Historical September minima average around 9–11°C, but recent observations show warmer-than-climatological nights amid mild spring advection. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing and wind speed create the close 54/45 split between 13°C and 12°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings from Wellington stations during the final hours of the calendar day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wellington le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Wellington le 3 septembre ?
12°C 47%
10°C 3%
11°C 2.6%
9°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
3%
12°C
47%
13°C
54%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou plus
<1%
12°C 47%
10°C 3%
11°C 2.6%
9°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$67 Vol.
1%
9°C
$77 Vol.
1%
10°C
$75 Vol.
3%
11°C
$156 Vol.
3%
12°C
$45 Vol.
47%
13°C
$35 Vol.
54%
14°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
18°C ou plus
$140 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including MetService-aligned services and international ensembles indicate an overnight low in Wellington near 12–13°C on September 3, with trader-implied odds reflecting that narrow range. Persistent northwesterly flow, elevated dew points near 11–12°C, and partial cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while a gradual wind shift toward the south may allow slightly greater heat loss in clearer intervals. Historical September minima average around 9–11°C, but recent observations show warmer-than-climatological nights amid mild spring advection. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing and wind speed create the close 54/45 split between 13°C and 12°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings from Wellington stations during the final hours of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,147Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including MetService-aligned services and international ensembles indicate an overnight low in Wellington near 12–13°C on September 3, with trader-implied odds reflecting that narrow range. Persistent northwesterly flow, elevated dew points near 11–12°C, and partial cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while a gradual wind shift toward the south may allow slightly greater heat loss in clearer intervals. Historical September minima average around 9–11°C, but recent observations show warmer-than-climatological nights amid mild spring advection. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing and wind speed create the close 54/45 split between 13°C and 12°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings from Wellington stations during the final hours of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,147Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including MetService-aligned services and international ensembles indicate an overnight low in Wellington near 12–13°C on September 3, with trader-implied odds reflecting that narrow range. Persistent northwesterly flow, elevated dew points near 11–12°C, and partial cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while a gradual wind shift toward the south may allow slightly greater heat loss in clearer intervals. Historical September minima average around 9–11°C, but recent observations show warmer-than-climatological nights amid mild spring advection. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing and wind speed create the close 54/45 split between 13°C and 12°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings from Wellington stations during the final hours of the calendar day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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