Traders assign roughly even implied probabilities to 19–21°C lows in Wuhan on September 24 because ensemble forecasts show modest overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and elevated humidity near 70–80%. Persistent southerly flow and dew points around 22–24°C suppress temperature drops, while light winds limit mixing; any increase in cloud cover or moisture advection from upstream systems could cap the minimum near 21–22°C. Conversely, clearer breaks or drier air intrusions would allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 19°C or below. Official guidance from regional models indicates a most-likely range of 22–24°C, yet the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage. Updated runs overnight will clarify whether the market’s central cluster holds or shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wuhan le 24 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Wuhan le 24 septembre ?
20°C 92%
18°C ou moins 90%
19°C 90%
21°C 54%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
90%
19°C
90%
20°C
92%
21°C
54%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou plus
<1%
20°C 92%
18°C ou moins 90%
19°C 90%
21°C 54%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
90%
19°C
$0 Vol.
90%
20°C
$0 Vol.
92%
21°C
$70 Vol.
54%
22°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
28°C ou plus
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign roughly even implied probabilities to 19–21°C lows in Wuhan on September 24 because ensemble forecasts show modest overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and elevated humidity near 70–80%. Persistent southerly flow and dew points around 22–24°C suppress temperature drops, while light winds limit mixing; any increase in cloud cover or moisture advection from upstream systems could cap the minimum near 21–22°C. Conversely, clearer breaks or drier air intrusions would allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 19°C or below. Official guidance from regional models indicates a most-likely range of 22–24°C, yet the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage. Updated runs overnight will clarify whether the market’s central cluster holds or shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$387Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign roughly even implied probabilities to 19–21°C lows in Wuhan on September 24 because ensemble forecasts show modest overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and elevated humidity near 70–80%. Persistent southerly flow and dew points around 22–24°C suppress temperature drops, while light winds limit mixing; any increase in cloud cover or moisture advection from upstream systems could cap the minimum near 21–22°C. Conversely, clearer breaks or drier air intrusions would allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 19°C or below. Official guidance from regional models indicates a most-likely range of 22–24°C, yet the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage. Updated runs overnight will clarify whether the market’s central cluster holds or shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$387Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Traders assign roughly even implied probabilities to 19–21°C lows in Wuhan on September 24 because ensemble forecasts show modest overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and elevated humidity near 70–80%. Persistent southerly flow and dew points around 22–24°C suppress temperature drops, while light winds limit mixing; any increase in cloud cover or moisture advection from upstream systems could cap the minimum near 21–22°C. Conversely, clearer breaks or drier air intrusions would allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 19°C or below. Official guidance from regional models indicates a most-likely range of 22–24°C, yet the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage. Updated runs overnight will clarify whether the market’s central cluster holds or shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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