**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to hold Michigan's 11th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by the seat's Solid Democratic rating amid Rep. Haley Stevens' departure for a U.S. Senate bid.** The district's suburban Oakland and Macomb County electorate, which delivered Stevens comfortable margins in recent cycles including 2024, underpins this positioning, alongside early Democratic fundraising strength and a competitive primary field featuring state Sen. Jeremy Moss—recently endorsed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer—and candidates like Aisha Farooqi. Republicans have fielded limited challengers, such as Don Ufford, with no standout recruit emerging. The August 4 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a high-profile GOP contender, primary turmoil weakening the Democratic nominee, or national midterm waves could narrow the gap despite the district's partisan baseline favoring incumbency-like continuity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MI-11
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MI-11
$40,579 Vol.
$40,579 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
93%
Parti républicain
7%
$40,579 Vol.
$40,579 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$36,050 Vol.
93%
Parti républicain
$4,529 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to hold Michigan's 11th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by the seat's Solid Democratic rating amid Rep. Haley Stevens' departure for a U.S. Senate bid.** The district's suburban Oakland and Macomb County electorate, which delivered Stevens comfortable margins in recent cycles including 2024, underpins this positioning, alongside early Democratic fundraising strength and a competitive primary field featuring state Sen. Jeremy Moss—recently endorsed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer—and candidates like Aisha Farooqi. Republicans have fielded limited challengers, such as Don Ufford, with no standout recruit emerging. The August 4 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a high-profile GOP contender, primary turmoil weakening the Democratic nominee, or national midterm waves could narrow the gap despite the district's partisan baseline favoring incumbency-like continuity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$40,579Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to hold Michigan's 11th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by the seat's Solid Democratic rating amid Rep. Haley Stevens' departure for a U.S. Senate bid.** The district's suburban Oakland and Macomb County electorate, which delivered Stevens comfortable margins in recent cycles including 2024, underpins this positioning, alongside early Democratic fundraising strength and a competitive primary field featuring state Sen. Jeremy Moss—recently endorsed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer—and candidates like Aisha Farooqi. Republicans have fielded limited challengers, such as Don Ufford, with no standout recruit emerging. The August 4 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a high-profile GOP contender, primary turmoil weakening the Democratic nominee, or national midterm waves could narrow the gap despite the district's partisan baseline favoring incumbency-like continuity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,579Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to hold Michigan's 11th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by the seat's Solid Democratic rating amid Rep. Haley Stevens' departure for a U.S. Senate bid.** The district's suburban Oakland and Macomb County electorate, which delivered Stevens comfortable margins in recent cycles including 2024, underpins this positioning, alongside early Democratic fundraising strength and a competitive primary field featuring state Sen. Jeremy Moss—recently endorsed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer—and candidates like Aisha Farooqi. Republicans have fielded limited challengers, such as Don Ufford, with no standout recruit emerging. The August 4 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a high-profile GOP contender, primary turmoil weakening the Democratic nominee, or national midterm waves could narrow the gap despite the district's partisan baseline favoring incumbency-like continuity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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