Recent tracking for Disney’s live-action Moana, opening July 10, shows downward revisions amid soft pre-sales and a crowded summer slate that includes Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters. Industry forecasts now cluster between $60 million and $85 million domestically, with Box Office Theory pinpointing around $62 million after earlier optimism faded. Momentum from the billion-dollar Moana 2 sequel provides some family audience tailwinds, yet concerns over remake fatigue and competition have kept trader consensus balanced across the provided buckets. Key swing factors include final-week marketing performance and any late surge in family bookings before the wide release locks in the opening weekend result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour"Moana (2026)" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Moana (2026)" Opening Weekend Box Office
39-44m 100.0%
<29m <1%
29-34M <1%
34-39 millions <1%
$151,247 Vol.
$151,247 Vol.
13 juil. 2026
<29m
Non
29-34M
Non
34-39 millions
Non
39-44m
Yes
>44 millions
Non
39-44m 100.0%
<29m <1%
29-34M <1%
34-39 millions <1%
$151,247 Vol.
$151,247 Vol.
13 juil. 2026
<29m
$14,549 Vol.
Non
29-34M
$22,179 Vol.
Non
34-39 millions
$26,117 Vol.
Non
39-44m
$24,814 Vol.
Yes
>44 millions
$63,588 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent tracking for Disney’s live-action Moana, opening July 10, shows downward revisions amid soft pre-sales and a crowded summer slate that includes Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters. Industry forecasts now cluster between $60 million and $85 million domestically, with Box Office Theory pinpointing around $62 million after earlier optimism faded. Momentum from the billion-dollar Moana 2 sequel provides some family audience tailwinds, yet concerns over remake fatigue and competition have kept trader consensus balanced across the provided buckets. Key swing factors include final-week marketing performance and any late surge in family bookings before the wide release locks in the opening weekend result.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Jul 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volume
$151,247Date de fin
13 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent tracking for Disney’s live-action Moana, opening July 10, shows downward revisions amid soft pre-sales and a crowded summer slate that includes Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters. Industry forecasts now cluster between $60 million and $85 million domestically, with Box Office Theory pinpointing around $62 million after earlier optimism faded. Momentum from the billion-dollar Moana 2 sequel provides some family audience tailwinds, yet concerns over remake fatigue and competition have kept trader consensus balanced across the provided buckets. Key swing factors include final-week marketing performance and any late surge in family bookings before the wide release locks in the opening weekend result.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$151,247Date de fin
13 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent tracking for Disney’s live-action Moana, opening July 10, shows downward revisions amid soft pre-sales and a crowded summer slate that includes Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters. Industry forecasts now cluster between $60 million and $85 million domestically, with Box Office Theory pinpointing around $62 million after earlier optimism faded. Momentum from the billion-dollar Moana 2 sequel provides some family audience tailwinds, yet concerns over remake fatigue and competition have kept trader consensus balanced across the provided buckets. Key swing factors include final-week marketing performance and any late surge in family bookings before the wide release locks in the opening weekend result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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