**Intense competition from blockbuster holdovers like Spider-Man: Brand New Day in its second weekend and The Odyssey has driven trader consensus toward a sub-$6 million opening for One Night Only, with that outcome commanding 72.5% implied probability.** The Will Gluck-directed R-rated rom-com starring Monica Barbaro and Callum Turner entered wide release on roughly 3,000 screens after generating preview numbers on par with Anyone But You, yet recent industry tracking has revised expectations sharply downward into the $3–5.5 million range amid a crowded August marketplace and the broader challenges facing theatrical romantic comedies. Pre-release forecasts had centered on $7–12 million, but momentum has shifted as audiences prioritize established franchises over the high-concept premise. Upcoming factors include word-of-mouth performance over the full weekend and any late adjustments in theater counts or marketing emphasis.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBox-office d'ouverture du week-end « One Night Only »
Box-office d'ouverture du week-end « One Night Only »
<6m 73%
6-7m 22%
7-8m 10%
8-9m 4.0%
$15,256 Vol.
$15,256 Vol.
9 août 2026
<6m
73%
6-7m
22%
7-8m
10%
8-9m
4%
9M+
2%
<6m 73%
6-7m 22%
7-8m 10%
8-9m 4.0%
$15,256 Vol.
$15,256 Vol.
9 août 2026
<6m
$6,536 Vol.
73%
6-7m
$65 Vol.
22%
7-8m
$65 Vol.
10%
8-9m
$2,128 Vol.
4%
9M+
$6,462 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to how much "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Intense competition from blockbuster holdovers like Spider-Man: Brand New Day in its second weekend and The Odyssey has driven trader consensus toward a sub-$6 million opening for One Night Only, with that outcome commanding 72.5% implied probability.** The Will Gluck-directed R-rated rom-com starring Monica Barbaro and Callum Turner entered wide release on roughly 3,000 screens after generating preview numbers on par with Anyone But You, yet recent industry tracking has revised expectations sharply downward into the $3–5.5 million range amid a crowded August marketplace and the broader challenges facing theatrical romantic comedies. Pre-release forecasts had centered on $7–12 million, but momentum has shifted as audiences prioritize established franchises over the high-concept premise. Upcoming factors include word-of-mouth performance over the full weekend and any late adjustments in theater counts or marketing emphasis.
This market will resolve according to how much "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Volume
$15,256Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Intense competition from blockbuster holdovers like Spider-Man: Brand New Day in its second weekend and The Odyssey has driven trader consensus toward a sub-$6 million opening for One Night Only, with that outcome commanding 72.5% implied probability.** The Will Gluck-directed R-rated rom-com starring Monica Barbaro and Callum Turner entered wide release on roughly 3,000 screens after generating preview numbers on par with Anyone But You, yet recent industry tracking has revised expectations sharply downward into the $3–5.5 million range amid a crowded August marketplace and the broader challenges facing theatrical romantic comedies. Pre-release forecasts had centered on $7–12 million, but momentum has shifted as audiences prioritize established franchises over the high-concept premise. Upcoming factors include word-of-mouth performance over the full weekend and any late adjustments in theater counts or marketing emphasis.
This market will resolve according to how much "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$15,256Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Intense competition from blockbuster holdovers like Spider-Man: Brand New Day in its second weekend and The Odyssey has driven trader consensus toward a sub-$6 million opening for One Night Only, with that outcome commanding 72.5% implied probability.** The Will Gluck-directed R-rated rom-com starring Monica Barbaro and Callum Turner entered wide release on roughly 3,000 screens after generating preview numbers on par with Anyone But You, yet recent industry tracking has revised expectations sharply downward into the $3–5.5 million range amid a crowded August marketplace and the broader challenges facing theatrical romantic comedies. Pre-release forecasts had centered on $7–12 million, but momentum has shifted as audiences prioritize established franchises over the high-concept premise. Upcoming factors include word-of-mouth performance over the full weekend and any late adjustments in theater counts or marketing emphasis.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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