Democratic former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s open 2026 gubernatorial race due to the state’s consistent Democratic lean, her decisive primary victory, and consistent polling leads of six to seventeen points over Republican nominee Gregg Hull. Incumbent Michelle Lujan Grisham is term-limited after two consecutive terms, creating an open seat that favors the party holding a trifecta. Haaland benefits from high name recognition, strong support among Democratic and female voters, and the state’s partisan voting index. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and recent survey trends. A realistic shift could occur through unusually high Republican turnout, late-breaking national events, economic concerns, or candidate-specific developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$34,031 Vol.
$34,031 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Démocrate
93%
Républicain
5%
$34,031 Vol.
$34,031 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$18,693 Vol.
93%
Républicain
$15,338 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s open 2026 gubernatorial race due to the state’s consistent Democratic lean, her decisive primary victory, and consistent polling leads of six to seventeen points over Republican nominee Gregg Hull. Incumbent Michelle Lujan Grisham is term-limited after two consecutive terms, creating an open seat that favors the party holding a trifecta. Haaland benefits from high name recognition, strong support among Democratic and female voters, and the state’s partisan voting index. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and recent survey trends. A realistic shift could occur through unusually high Republican turnout, late-breaking national events, economic concerns, or candidate-specific developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$34,031Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s open 2026 gubernatorial race due to the state’s consistent Democratic lean, her decisive primary victory, and consistent polling leads of six to seventeen points over Republican nominee Gregg Hull. Incumbent Michelle Lujan Grisham is term-limited after two consecutive terms, creating an open seat that favors the party holding a trifecta. Haaland benefits from high name recognition, strong support among Democratic and female voters, and the state’s partisan voting index. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and recent survey trends. A realistic shift could occur through unusually high Republican turnout, late-breaking national events, economic concerns, or candidate-specific developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$34,031Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s open 2026 gubernatorial race due to the state’s consistent Democratic lean, her decisive primary victory, and consistent polling leads of six to seventeen points over Republican nominee Gregg Hull. Incumbent Michelle Lujan Grisham is term-limited after two consecutive terms, creating an open seat that favors the party holding a trifecta. Haaland benefits from high name recognition, strong support among Democratic and female voters, and the state’s partisan voting index. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and recent survey trends. A realistic shift could occur through unusually high Republican turnout, late-breaking national events, economic concerns, or candidate-specific developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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