On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s June 9, 2026 release of the public Claude Fable 5 and restricted Claude Mythos 5 established the current Mythos-class baseline, anchoring trader expectations around a three-month development cycle. Recent leaks and internal reports of Fable 5.1 (and a potential Opus variant) entering grayscale testing in late August, with code names like Melon and Marshmallow circulating, have concentrated implied probabilities on early-to-mid September dates. Key drivers include Anthropic’s rapid iterative cadence, final benchmark validation, compute allocation, and safety evaluations for cybersecurity capabilities, set against competitive pressure from OpenAI’s Astra. Upcoming catalysts center on any official announcements or Arena leaderboard debuts that could confirm the exact release window before month-end.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Anthropic’s June 9, 2026 release of the public Claude Fable 5 and restricted Claude Mythos 5 established the current Mythos-class baseline, anchoring trader expectations around a three-month development cycle. Recent leaks and internal reports of Fable 5.1 (and a potential Opus variant) entering grayscale testing in late August, with code names like Melon and Marshmallow circulating, have concentrated implied probabilities on early-to-mid September dates. Key drivers include Anthropic’s rapid iterative cadence, final benchmark validation, compute allocation, and safety evaluations for cybersecurity capabilities, set against competitive pressure from OpenAI’s Astra. Upcoming catalysts center on any official announcements or Arena leaderboard debuts that could confirm the exact release window before month-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Aug 27 2026
Anthropic opens 10,000 free and discounted Claude seats to scientists with government-mediated life sciences access
September 30 rises to 93%1%
On August 27, 2026, Anthropic announced a program granting free and discounted access to Claude for scientists worldwide, with life sciences research access to Mythos-class models now mediated by the U.S. government, reflecting ongoing regulatory oversight.
Aug 26 2026
Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 gains widespread adoption in developer and production environments
September 15 surges to 77%20%
By late August 2026, Claude Fable 5 was broadly available across multiple channels including GitHub Copilot and API subscriptions, making Mythos-class performance accessible to a wide developer base, which supported rising market prices for public release outcomes.
Aug 24 2026
Anthropic expands Mythos-class model access to hundreds of organizations globally
October 31 jumps to 86%10%
Anthropic announced expanded access to Mythos-class models, including Claude Mythos 5, to hundreds of organizations across 15 countries, signaling broader adoption and reinforcing market confidence in the model's public availability.
Aug 24 2026
Market speculation and reporting intensify on broader Mythos-class model public release
October 31 jumps to 86%10%
In late August 2026, market prices surged as speculation and credible reporting increased about Anthropic's broader public release plans for Mythos-class models, reflecting growing confidence that the models would be accessible beyond limited partners.
Aug 21 2026
Anthropic integrates Claude Mythos 5 into Claude Security for vulnerability scanning
September 30 jumps to 93%5%
On August 21, 2026, Anthropic launched Claude Security scans powered by Mythos 5 in public beta for enterprise customers, enabling vulnerability detection and patch suggestions without direct model access, expanding practical use of Mythos-class capabilities.
Jul 1 2026
Claude Fable 5 returns to global commercial availability after regulatory clearance
September 30 rises to 75%3%
Following the lifting of the Commerce Department's suspension, Anthropic resumed global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 on July 1, ensuring broad public access to the Mythos-class model and supporting sustained market confidence.
Jul 1 2026
Claude Fable 5 returns to global commercial availability after US export restrictions lifted
After the US Commerce Department lifted restrictions on June 30, Anthropic restored global commercial access to Claude Fable 5 on July 1, confirming the model's public availability and supporting market confidence in the Mythos-class model's accessibility.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic restores global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 after lifting of government restrictions
September 30 jumps to 75%8%
Following the lifting of the US Commerce order on June 30, Anthropic resumed global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 on July 1, 2026. This reinstatement of public access to a Mythos-class model reinforced market confidence in its availability to commercial customers.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic restores global access to Claude Fable 5 following lifting of export controls
October 31 surges to 96%20%
After the U.S. Department of Commerce rescinded emergency export controls, Anthropic restored global access to Claude Fable 5 on July 1, 2026, making its most powerful AI model available again to enterprises and developers worldwide.
Jun 30 2026
U.S. Commerce Department lifts suspension, allowing Mythos-class model global commercial availability to resume
September 30 jumps to 72%6%
The Commerce Department lifted the June suspension on June 30, enabling Anthropic to restore global commercial access to Mythos-class models, including Claude Fable 5. This regulatory relief reinforced market optimism about continued public availability.
Jun 26 2026
U.S. government grants Anthropic permission to release Mythos 5 to select companies and agencies
September 30 jumps to 76%12%
On June 26, 2026, the U.S. government allowed Anthropic to provide Mythos 5 access to over 100 trusted U.S. companies and federal agencies, signaling a softening of restrictions and progress in negotiations, positively impacting market sentiment.
Jun 26 2026
U.S. government partially lifts export controls, clears Mythos 5 for limited release to vetted organizations
September 4 surges to 76%26%
On June 26, 2026, the U.S. government partially lifted the export control block, allowing Anthropic to redeploy Claude Mythos 5 to over 100 vetted U.S. institutions, including major companies and government agencies, while Fable 5 remained under review for broader public access.
Jun 26 2026
US government partially lifts export-control block on Anthropic's Mythos 5 model
Following a US export-control directive that temporarily disabled Mythos 5 and Fable 5 on June 12, the US government partially lifted the block on June 26, allowing over 100 vetted US institutions to access Mythos 5. This regulatory development reassured the market about continued limited access to Mythos-class models.
Jun 26 2026
US government partially lifts export-control block on Anthropic's Mythos 5 for vetted institutions
September 30 rises to 67%1%
On June 26, 2026, the US government partially lifted an export-control block imposed earlier in June, allowing Anthropic to provide its most powerful cybersecurity model, Claude Mythos 5, to over 100 vetted US institutions. This regulatory development maintained limited access but restricted general public availability, impacting market perceptions.
Jun 12 2026
U.S. government orders Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 over export control directive
September 30 drops to 56%12%
On June 12, the U.S. government issued a directive citing national security concerns and a narrow potential jailbreak, forcing Anthropic to suspend access to both Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all users, including foreign nationals. This abrupt suspension caused a sharp market sell-off and pushed expectations for a full public release further out.
Jun 12 2026
U.S. government issues export control directive forcing Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5
September 30 drops to 56%12%
On June 12, the U.S. government ordered Anthropic to suspend access to both Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5 due to national security concerns over a potential jailbreak. Anthropic complied by disabling access for all customers, causing a sharp market sell-off and pushing back expectations for a full public release of the unrestricted Mythos model.
Jun 11 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Fable 5 as state-of-the-art Mythos-class model for public use
Anthropic officially launched Claude Fable 5 as a Mythos-class model made safe and available to the general public, highlighting its superior capabilities and positioning it as the most powerful model Anthropic has made publicly accessible, reinforcing the bifurcated release strategy.
Jun 10 2026
Claude Fable 5 confirmed as publicly accessible Mythos-class model
September 30 jumps to 61%5%
Independent reports and testing confirmed that Claude Fable 5 is publicly accessible via API and enterprise plans, representing the first Mythos-class model available to the general public, albeit with safeguards that route sensitive queries to a less capable model. This confirmation supported the market's recognition of a public Mythos-class release.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s June 9, 2026 release of the public Claude Fable 5 and restricted Claude Mythos 5 established the current Mythos-class baseline, anchoring trader expectations around a three-month development cycle. Recent leaks and internal reports of Fable 5.1 (and a potential Opus variant) entering grayscale testing in late August, with code names like Melon and Marshmallow circulating, have concentrated implied probabilities on early-to-mid September dates. Key drivers include Anthropic’s rapid iterative cadence, final benchmark validation, compute allocation, and safety evaluations for cybersecurity capabilities, set against competitive pressure from OpenAI’s Astra. Upcoming catalysts center on any official announcements or Arena leaderboard debuts that could confirm the exact release window before month-end.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Anthropic’s June 9, 2026 release of the public Claude Fable 5 and restricted Claude Mythos 5 established the current Mythos-class baseline, anchoring trader expectations around a three-month development cycle. Recent leaks and internal reports of Fable 5.1 (and a potential Opus variant) entering grayscale testing in late August, with code names like Melon and Marshmallow circulating, have concentrated implied probabilities on early-to-mid September dates. Key drivers include Anthropic’s rapid iterative cadence, final benchmark validation, compute allocation, and safety evaluations for cybersecurity capabilities, set against competitive pressure from OpenAI’s Astra. Upcoming catalysts center on any official announcements or Arena leaderboard debuts that could confirm the exact release window before month-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Aug 27 2026
Anthropic opens 10,000 free and discounted Claude seats to scientists with government-mediated life sciences access
September 30 rises to 93%1%
On August 27, 2026, Anthropic announced a program granting free and discounted access to Claude for scientists worldwide, with life sciences research access to Mythos-class models now mediated by the U.S. government, reflecting ongoing regulatory oversight.
Aug 26 2026
Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 gains widespread adoption in developer and production environments
September 15 surges to 77%20%
By late August 2026, Claude Fable 5 was broadly available across multiple channels including GitHub Copilot and API subscriptions, making Mythos-class performance accessible to a wide developer base, which supported rising market prices for public release outcomes.
Aug 24 2026
Anthropic expands Mythos-class model access to hundreds of organizations globally
October 31 jumps to 86%10%
Anthropic announced expanded access to Mythos-class models, including Claude Mythos 5, to hundreds of organizations across 15 countries, signaling broader adoption and reinforcing market confidence in the model's public availability.
Aug 24 2026
Market speculation and reporting intensify on broader Mythos-class model public release
October 31 jumps to 86%10%
In late August 2026, market prices surged as speculation and credible reporting increased about Anthropic's broader public release plans for Mythos-class models, reflecting growing confidence that the models would be accessible beyond limited partners.
Aug 21 2026
Anthropic integrates Claude Mythos 5 into Claude Security for vulnerability scanning
September 30 jumps to 93%5%
On August 21, 2026, Anthropic launched Claude Security scans powered by Mythos 5 in public beta for enterprise customers, enabling vulnerability detection and patch suggestions without direct model access, expanding practical use of Mythos-class capabilities.
Jul 1 2026
Claude Fable 5 returns to global commercial availability after regulatory clearance
September 30 rises to 75%3%
Following the lifting of the Commerce Department's suspension, Anthropic resumed global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 on July 1, ensuring broad public access to the Mythos-class model and supporting sustained market confidence.
Jul 1 2026
Claude Fable 5 returns to global commercial availability after US export restrictions lifted
After the US Commerce Department lifted restrictions on June 30, Anthropic restored global commercial access to Claude Fable 5 on July 1, confirming the model's public availability and supporting market confidence in the Mythos-class model's accessibility.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic restores global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 after lifting of government restrictions
September 30 jumps to 75%8%
Following the lifting of the US Commerce order on June 30, Anthropic resumed global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 on July 1, 2026. This reinstatement of public access to a Mythos-class model reinforced market confidence in its availability to commercial customers.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic restores global access to Claude Fable 5 following lifting of export controls
October 31 surges to 96%20%
After the U.S. Department of Commerce rescinded emergency export controls, Anthropic restored global access to Claude Fable 5 on July 1, 2026, making its most powerful AI model available again to enterprises and developers worldwide.
Jun 30 2026
U.S. Commerce Department lifts suspension, allowing Mythos-class model global commercial availability to resume
September 30 jumps to 72%6%
The Commerce Department lifted the June suspension on June 30, enabling Anthropic to restore global commercial access to Mythos-class models, including Claude Fable 5. This regulatory relief reinforced market optimism about continued public availability.
Jun 26 2026
U.S. government grants Anthropic permission to release Mythos 5 to select companies and agencies
September 30 jumps to 76%12%
On June 26, 2026, the U.S. government allowed Anthropic to provide Mythos 5 access to over 100 trusted U.S. companies and federal agencies, signaling a softening of restrictions and progress in negotiations, positively impacting market sentiment.
Jun 26 2026
U.S. government partially lifts export controls, clears Mythos 5 for limited release to vetted organizations
September 4 surges to 76%26%
On June 26, 2026, the U.S. government partially lifted the export control block, allowing Anthropic to redeploy Claude Mythos 5 to over 100 vetted U.S. institutions, including major companies and government agencies, while Fable 5 remained under review for broader public access.
Jun 26 2026
US government partially lifts export-control block on Anthropic's Mythos 5 model
Following a US export-control directive that temporarily disabled Mythos 5 and Fable 5 on June 12, the US government partially lifted the block on June 26, allowing over 100 vetted US institutions to access Mythos 5. This regulatory development reassured the market about continued limited access to Mythos-class models.
Jun 26 2026
US government partially lifts export-control block on Anthropic's Mythos 5 for vetted institutions
September 30 rises to 67%1%
On June 26, 2026, the US government partially lifted an export-control block imposed earlier in June, allowing Anthropic to provide its most powerful cybersecurity model, Claude Mythos 5, to over 100 vetted US institutions. This regulatory development maintained limited access but restricted general public availability, impacting market perceptions.
Jun 12 2026
U.S. government orders Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 over export control directive
September 30 drops to 56%12%
On June 12, the U.S. government issued a directive citing national security concerns and a narrow potential jailbreak, forcing Anthropic to suspend access to both Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all users, including foreign nationals. This abrupt suspension caused a sharp market sell-off and pushed expectations for a full public release further out.
Jun 12 2026
U.S. government issues export control directive forcing Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5
September 30 drops to 56%12%
On June 12, the U.S. government ordered Anthropic to suspend access to both Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5 due to national security concerns over a potential jailbreak. Anthropic complied by disabling access for all customers, causing a sharp market sell-off and pushing back expectations for a full public release of the unrestricted Mythos model.
Jun 11 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Fable 5 as state-of-the-art Mythos-class model for public use
Anthropic officially launched Claude Fable 5 as a Mythos-class model made safe and available to the general public, highlighting its superior capabilities and positioning it as the most powerful model Anthropic has made publicly accessible, reinforcing the bifurcated release strategy.
Jun 10 2026
Claude Fable 5 confirmed as publicly accessible Mythos-class model
September 30 jumps to 61%5%
Independent reports and testing confirmed that Claude Fable 5 is publicly accessible via API and enterprise plans, representing the first Mythos-class model available to the general public, albeit with safeguards that route sensitive queries to a less capable model. This confirmation supported the market's recognition of a public Mythos-class release.
« Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié par… ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 octobre » à 98%, suivi de « 30 septembre » à 95%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 98¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.
À ce jour, « Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié par… ? » a généré $1.1 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 10, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.
Pour trader sur « Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié par… ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.
Le favori actuel pour « Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié par… ? » est « 31 octobre » à 98%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 30 septembre » à 95%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.
Les règles de résolution de « Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié par… ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.
Oui. Vous n'avez pas besoin de trader pour rester informé. Cette page sert de suivi en direct pour « Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié par… ? ». Les probabilités des résultats sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que de nouvelles transactions arrivent. Vous pouvez ajouter cette page à vos favoris et consulter la section commentaires pour voir ce que disent les autres traders. Vous pouvez également utiliser les filtres de plage temporelle sur le graphique pour voir comment les cotes ont évolué au fil du temps.
Les cotes de Polymarket sont fixées par de vrais traders qui mettent de l'argent réel derrière leurs convictions, ce qui tend à produire des prédictions précises. Avec $1.1 million échangés sur « Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié par… ? », ces prix agrègent les connaissances collectives et la conviction de milliers de participants — surpassant souvent les sondages, les prévisions d’experts et les enquêtes traditionnelles. Les marchés de prédiction comme Polymarket ont un solide historique de précision, surtout à mesure que les événements approchent de leur date de résolution. Par exemple, Polymarket a un score de précision sur un mois de 94%. Pour les dernières statistiques sur la précision des prédictions de Polymarket, visitez la page de précision sur Polymarket.
Pour placer votre première transaction sur « Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié par… ? », inscrivez-vous pour un compte Polymarket gratuit et approvisionnez-le en utilisant des cryptomonnaies, une carte de crédit ou débit, ou un virement bancaire. Une fois votre compte approvisionné, revenez sur cette page, sélectionnez le résultat sur lequel vous souhaitez trader, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous êtes nouveau dans les marchés de prédiction, cliquez sur le lien « Comment ça marche » en haut de n'importe quelle page Polymarket pour un guide étape par étape.
Sur Polymarket, le prix de chaque résultat représente la probabilité implicite du marché. Un prix de 98¢ pour « 31 octobre » sur le marché « Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié par… ? » signifie que les traders estiment collectivement qu'il y a environ une probabilité de 98% que « 31 octobre » sera le résultat correct. Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » à 98¢ et que le résultat est correct, vous recevez $1,00 par part — un gain de 2¢ par part. S'il est incorrect, ces parts valent $0.
Le marché « Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié par… ? » est prévu pour être résolu autour du Sep 30, 2026. Cela signifie que le trading restera ouvert et les cotes continueront d'évoluer jusqu'à cette date. Le moment exact de la résolution dépend de la disponibilité du résultat officiel, comme décrit dans la section « Règles ».
Le marché « Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié par… ? » a une communauté active de 290 commentaires où les traders partagent leurs analyses, débattent des résultats et discutent des derniers développements. Faites défiler jusqu'à la section commentaires ci-dessous pour lire ce que pensent les autres participants. Vous pouvez également filtrer par « Principaux détenteurs » ou consulter l'onglet « Activité » pour un flux en temps réel des transactions.
Polymarket est le plus grand marché de prédiction au monde, où vous pouvez rester informé et profiter de vos connaissances sur les événements du monde réel. Les traders achètent et vendent des parts sur des résultats allant de la politique et des élections aux cryptomonnaies, finances, sports, technologie et culture, y compris des marchés comme « Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié par… ? ». Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel soutenues par une conviction financière, fournissant souvent des signaux plus rapides et plus précis que les sondages, les commentateurs ou les enquêtes traditionnelles.
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