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Nombre de sièges remportés par le GERB-SDS aux élections législatives bulgares ?

Market icon

Nombre de sièges remportés par le GERB-SDS aux élections législatives bulgares ?

55-59 41%

50-54 26%

60-64 16.8%

<50 11.0%

Polymarket

$34,274 Vol.

55-59 41%

50-54 26%

60-64 16.8%

<50 11.0%

Polymarket

$34,274 Vol.

<50

$1,965 Vol.

11%

50-54

$365 Vol.

26%

55-59

$7,686 Vol.

41%

60-64

$20,230 Vol.

17%

65-69

$2,838 Vol.

11%

70+

$1,190 Vol.

6%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices GERB-SDS securing 55-59 seats (37%) or 50-54 (24%) in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, reflecting recent polls showing the center-right coalition's vote share dipping to 19-21.5% amid Progressive Bulgaria's lead at 30-34%. Latest surveys from CAM (April 3-14: 19.4%, 54 seats) and Sova Harris (April 2-6: 19%, 53 seats) anchor these brackets, a slide from March highs of 23.4% projecting 64-70 seats. Fragmentation risks persist with multiple parties near the 4% threshold, where failures could redistribute seats upward to qualifiers like GERB-SDS, while voter fatigue from the eighth election since 2021 tempers upside in this proportional representation system requiring 121 for majority.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$34,274
Date de fin
19 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices GERB-SDS securing 55-59 seats (37%) or 50-54 (24%) in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, reflecting recent polls showing the center-right coalition's vote share dipping to 19-21.5% amid Progressive Bulgaria's lead at 30-34%. Latest surveys from CAM (April 3-14: 19.4%, 54 seats) and Sova Harris (April 2-6: 19%, 53 seats) anchor these brackets, a slide from March highs of 23.4% projecting 64-70 seats. Fragmentation risks persist with multiple parties near the 4% threshold, where failures could redistribute seats upward to qualifiers like GERB-SDS, while voter fatigue from the eighth election since 2021 tempers upside in this proportional representation system requiring 121 for majority.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$34,274
Date de fin
19 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

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Questions fréquentes

« Nombre de sièges remportés par le GERB-SDS aux élections législatives bulgares ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 55-59 » à 41%, suivi de « 50-54 » à 26%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 41¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 41% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Nombre de sièges remportés par le GERB-SDS aux élections législatives bulgares ? » a généré $34.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Nombre de sièges remportés par le GERB-SDS aux élections législatives bulgares ? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Nombre de sièges remportés par le GERB-SDS aux élections législatives bulgares ? » est « 55-59 » à 41%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 41% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 50-54 » à 26%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Nombre de sièges remportés par le GERB-SDS aux élections législatives bulgares ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.