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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí

Professeur Gisvaldo 44%

Professeur Jurity 44%

Ravenna da Inclusão 44%

Santiago Belizário 44%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Professeur Gisvaldo 44%

Professeur Jurity 44%

Ravenna da Inclusão 44%

Santiago Belizário 44%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Professeur Gisvaldo

Professeur Gisvaldo

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Professeur Jurity

Professeur Jurity

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Ravenna da Inclusão

Ravenna da Inclusão

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Santiago Belizário

Santiago Belizário

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Gustavo Feijó

Gustavo Feijó

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Rafael Fonteles

Rafael Fonteles

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Geraldo Carvalho

Geraldo Carvalho

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Lourdes Melo

Lourdes Melo

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Dra. Lúcia Santos

Dra. Lúcia Santos

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Elizeu Aguiar

Elizeu Aguiar

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Joel Rodrigues

Joel Rodrigues

$0 Vol.

38%

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of more than ten registered candidates for Piauí's October 2026 gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with no single contender securing a decisive edge in market pricing. Recent party conventions and the close of candidate registration deadlines have formalized a broad slate—including incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) alongside challengers such as Joel Rodrigues, Geraldo Carvalho, and others—without clear coalition consolidation or major endorsements that would shift momentum. Brazilian rules requiring a first-round majority or runoff qualification amplify uncertainty around vote splitting and alliance negotiations, sustaining even implied probabilities near 40-50% across names. Upcoming polling releases and formal alliance announcements in the coming weeks could create separation by clarifying paths to the top two spots.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of more than ten registered candidates for Piauí's October 2026 gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with no single contender securing a decisive edge in market pricing. Recent party conventions and the close of candidate registration deadlines have formalized a broad slate—including incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) alongside challengers such as Joel Rodrigues, Geraldo Carvalho, and others—without clear coalition consolidation or major endorsements that would shift momentum. Brazilian rules requiring a first-round majority or runoff qualification amplify uncertainty around vote splitting and alliance negotiations, sustaining even implied probabilities near 40-50% across names. Upcoming polling releases and formal alliance announcements in the coming weeks could create separation by clarifying paths to the top two spots.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Lucas Ribeiro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de la Paraíba ?

Lucas Ribeiro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de la Paraíba ?

75%
Oui
icon for Sergio Moro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Paraná ?

Sergio Moro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Paraná ?

87%
Oui
icon for Tarcísio de Freitas gagnera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur de São Paulo en 2026 ?

Tarcísio de Freitas gagnera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur de São Paulo en 2026 ?

97%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Professeur Gisvaldo » à 44%, suivi de « Professeur Jurity » à 44%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 44¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí » est « Professeur Gisvaldo » à 44%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Professeur Jurity » à 44%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Piauí » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.