Strong critical reception and surging presales are lifting trader expectations for Zach Cregger’s Resident Evil reboot, which opens September 18 in roughly 3,500 theaters. The film holds a 96% Rotten Tomatoes score and 79 Metacritic, the highest for any video-game adaptation in years, with early audience scores near 91%. Record franchise previews of $8–9 million have prompted trackers to revise estimates upward from an initial $30–50 million range toward $50–60 million or higher. Sony’s $40 million projection and comparisons to Cregger’s Weapons ($43.5 million opening) anchor most market-implied odds below $70 million, while the 25% probability on the 76–79 million bracket reflects late momentum from word-of-mouth and horror fan interest. Limited competition this weekend further supports a franchise-best debut without pushing into the top bracket.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBox-office d'ouverture du week-end « Resident Evil » (parenthèses supérieures)
<70M 50%
70-73M 27%
73-76 millions 25%
76-79 M 25%
<70M
63%
70-73M
27%
73-76 millions
25%
76-79 M
25%
79M+
8%
<70M 50%
70-73M 27%
73-76 millions 25%
76-79 M 25%
<70M
63%
70-73M
27%
73-76 millions
25%
76-79 M
25%
79M+
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Strong critical reception and surging presales are lifting trader expectations for Zach Cregger’s Resident Evil reboot, which opens September 18 in roughly 3,500 theaters. The film holds a 96% Rotten Tomatoes score and 79 Metacritic, the highest for any video-game adaptation in years, with early audience scores near 91%. Record franchise previews of $8–9 million have prompted trackers to revise estimates upward from an initial $30–50 million range toward $50–60 million or higher. Sony’s $40 million projection and comparisons to Cregger’s Weapons ($43.5 million opening) anchor most market-implied odds below $70 million, while the 25% probability on the 76–79 million bracket reflects late momentum from word-of-mouth and horror fan interest. Limited competition this weekend further supports a franchise-best debut without pushing into the top bracket.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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