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icon for Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place

Luciano Mattos 21%

Marcos Dias 21%

André Monteiro 21%

Marcelo Crivella 20%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Luciano Mattos 21%

Marcos Dias 21%

André Monteiro 21%

Marcelo Crivella 20%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Luciano Mattos

Luciano Mattos

$41 Vol.

21%

icon for Marcos Dias

Marcos Dias

$41 Vol.

21%

icon for André Monteiro

André Monteiro

$41 Vol.

21%

icon for Marcelo Crivella

Marcelo Crivella

$41 Vol.

20%

icon for Ó Clemente

Ó Clemente

$41 Vol.

20%

icon for Monica Benicio

Monica Benicio

$61 Vol.

30%

icon for Benedita da Silva

Benedita da Silva

$61 Vol.

14%

icon for Helio Secco

Helio Secco

$62 Vol.

28%

icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$41 Vol.

11%

icon for Waguinho

Waguinho

$41 Vol.

11%

icon for Pedro Paulo

Pedro Paulo

$41 Vol.

9%

icon for Carlos Jordy

Carlos Jordy

$41 Vol.

8%

icon for Carlos Portinho

Carlos Portinho

$41 Vol.

8%

icon for Michelly Xavier

Michelly Xavier

$78 Vol.

8%

icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$80 Vol.

6%

icon for Paula Falcão

Paula Falcão

$41 Vol.

6%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented contest for second place in Rio de Janeiro’s October 4, 2026 Senate election keeps trader probabilities tightly clustered, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing Benedita da Silva (PT) ahead at 11-12% while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), and several others trail in the low single digits. Right-leaning support remains split among multiple names, including newer entrants like Luciano Mattos and Helio Secco, after investigations sidelined higher-profile alternatives. This dispersion sustains even odds across contenders, as no candidate has consolidated the non-PT vote ahead of the first-round ballot. Upcoming campaign events and any consolidation among center-right or evangelical blocs could shift positioning before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$793
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented contest for second place in Rio de Janeiro’s October 4, 2026 Senate election keeps trader probabilities tightly clustered, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing Benedita da Silva (PT) ahead at 11-12% while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), and several others trail in the low single digits. Right-leaning support remains split among multiple names, including newer entrants like Luciano Mattos and Helio Secco, after investigations sidelined higher-profile alternatives. This dispersion sustains even odds across contenders, as no candidate has consolidated the non-PT vote ahead of the first-round ballot. Upcoming campaign events and any consolidation among center-right or evangelical blocs could shift positioning before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$793
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Luciano Mattos remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro en 2026 ?

Luciano Mattos remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro en 2026 ?

43%
Oui
icon for Renato Jaguarão obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Sul ?

Renato Jaguarão obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Sul ?

28%
Oui
icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Norte ?

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Norte ?

28%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 16 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Monica Benicio » à 30%, suivi de « Helio Secco » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 30¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 30% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place », parcourez les 16 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place » est « Monica Benicio » à 30%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 30% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Helio Secco » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.