Skip to main content
icon for Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place

Manuela D'Ávila 36%

Milton Cardoso 31%

Renato Jaguarão 27%

Sanderson 22%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Manuela D'Ávila 36%

Milton Cardoso 31%

Renato Jaguarão 27%

Sanderson 22%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Manuela D'Ávila

Manuela D'Ávila

$20 Vol.

36%

icon for Milton Cardoso

Milton Cardoso

$20 Vol.

31%

icon for Renato Jaguarão

Renato Jaguarão

$20 Vol.

27%

icon for Sanderson

Sanderson

$20 Vol.

22%

icon for Pimenta

Pimenta

$20 Vol.

22%

icon for Frederico Antunes

Frederico Antunes

$20 Vol.

21%

icon for Rigotto

Rigotto

$20 Vol.

19%

icon for Marcel Van Hattem

Marcel Van Hattem

$20 Vol.

18%

icon for Ric Jones

Ric Jones

$59 Vol.

8%

icon for Luciano do MLB

Luciano do MLB

$101 Vol.

8%

icon for Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

$71 Vol.

8%

icon for Regis Ethur

Regis Ethur

$87 Vol.

7%

icon for Tania Peres

Tania Peres

$280 Vol.

5%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Rio Grande do Sul show a fragmented field for the state's two Senate seats, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) in a technical tie near the top and large numbers of undecided voters. The open race without an incumbent, combined with distinct party coalitions and regional voter bases, sustains tight competition for second place. Trader consensus reflects this balance, as no single contender has established a durable edge in early surveys. Key upcoming factors include formal campaign launches later this month, coalition negotiations, and additional state-level polling that could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 first round.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$757
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Rio Grande do Sul show a fragmented field for the state's two Senate seats, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) in a technical tie near the top and large numbers of undecided voters. The open race without an incumbent, combined with distinct party coalitions and regional voter bases, sustains tight competition for second place. Trader consensus reflects this balance, as no single contender has established a durable edge in early surveys. Key upcoming factors include formal campaign launches later this month, coalition negotiations, and additional state-level polling that could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 first round.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$757
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

26%
icon for Rafael Motta obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Norte ?

Rafael Motta obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Norte ?

21%
Oui
icon for Marcelo Crivella obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Rio de Janeiro en 2026 ?

Marcelo Crivella obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Rio de Janeiro en 2026 ?

37%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Manuela D'Ávila » à 36%, suivi de « Milton Cardoso » à 31%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 36¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place » est « Manuela D'Ávila » à 36%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Milton Cardoso » à 31%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.