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icon for Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 1ère place
Politique·Élection Principale

Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 1ère place

icon for Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 1ère place
Politique·Élection Principale

Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 1ère place

Manuela D'Ávila 34%

Marcel Van Hattem 32%

Regis Ethur 22%

Milton Cardoso 15%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Manuela D'Ávila 34%

Marcel Van Hattem 32%

Regis Ethur 22%

Milton Cardoso 15%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Manuela D'Ávila

Manuela D'Ávila

$110 Vol.

29%

icon for Marcel Van Hattem

Marcel Van Hattem

$147 Vol.

21%

icon for Regis Ethur

Regis Ethur

$69 Vol.

22%

icon for Milton Cardoso

Milton Cardoso

$69 Vol.

15%

icon for Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

$69 Vol.

14%

icon for Sanderson

Sanderson

$102 Vol.

11%

icon for Rigotto

Rigotto

$69 Vol.

10%

icon for Frederico Antunes

Frederico Antunes

$121 Vol.

9%

icon for Ric Jones

Ric Jones

$69 Vol.

8%

icon for Luciano do MLB

Luciano do MLB

$66 Vol.

8%

icon for Pimenta

Pimenta

$69 Vol.

8%

icon for Renato Jaguarão

Renato Jaguarão

$69 Vol.

8%

icon for Tania Peres

Tania Peres

$155 Vol.

3%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the open Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner, as early polls show technical ties among multiple contenders including Manuela D'Ávila, Paulo Pimenta, Germano Rigotto, Marcel Van Hattem, and Ubiratan Sanderson. Recent pre-candidacy announcements, party conventions, and a July Quaest survey highlighting high undecided voters have kept implied probabilities clustered, underscoring uncertainty over coalition formations and turnout patterns in this incumbent-free contest. Developments such as formal alliances, additional state-level polling, or shifts in national political momentum could consolidate support and create clearer separation among the top candidates.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,180
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the open Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner, as early polls show technical ties among multiple contenders including Manuela D'Ávila, Paulo Pimenta, Germano Rigotto, Marcel Van Hattem, and Ubiratan Sanderson. Recent pre-candidacy announcements, party conventions, and a July Quaest survey highlighting high undecided voters have kept implied probabilities clustered, underscoring uncertainty over coalition formations and turnout patterns in this incumbent-free contest. Developments such as formal alliances, additional state-level polling, or shifts in national political momentum could consolidate support and create clearer separation among the top candidates.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,180
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Milton Cardoso obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Sul ?

Milton Cardoso obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Sul ?

30%
Oui
icon for Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

62%
icon for Tércio Tinôco obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Norte ?

Tércio Tinôco obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Norte ?

23%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 1ère place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Manuela D'Ávila » à 29%, suivi de « Regis Ethur » à 22%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 29¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 29% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 1ère place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 1ère place », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 1ère place » est « Manuela D'Ávila » à 29%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 29% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Regis Ethur » à 22%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 1ère place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.