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icon for Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 1ère place

icon for Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 1ère place

Samanda de Lula 44%

Sandro Pimentel 44%

Sonia Godeiro 44%

Styvenson Valentim 44%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Samanda de Lula 44%

Sandro Pimentel 44%

Sonia Godeiro 44%

Styvenson Valentim 44%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$0 Vol.

37%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for first place in Rio Grande do Norte’s 2026 Senate election stems from a fragmented field of more than two dozen contenders vying for two seats, with recent AtlasIntel polling showing a technical tie among the top four: incumbent Styvenson Valentim, Samanda Alves, Coronel Hélio, and Rafael Motta. Incumbency provides modest advantages to Valentim and Zenaide Maia, yet broader party coalitions, voter turnout dynamics in key regions, and undecided blocs have prevented any single candidate from pulling ahead decisively. The market’s pricing reflects this uncertainty, with most named options clustered near even odds and lower probabilities assigned to longer shots. Upcoming campaign events, additional polling releases, or formal alliance announcements before October could shift momentum by clarifying voter preferences among the leading names.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for first place in Rio Grande do Norte’s 2026 Senate election stems from a fragmented field of more than two dozen contenders vying for two seats, with recent AtlasIntel polling showing a technical tie among the top four: incumbent Styvenson Valentim, Samanda Alves, Coronel Hélio, and Rafael Motta. Incumbency provides modest advantages to Valentim and Zenaide Maia, yet broader party coalitions, voter turnout dynamics in key regions, and undecided blocs have prevented any single candidate from pulling ahead decisively. The market’s pricing reflects this uncertainty, with most named options clustered near even odds and lower probabilities assigned to longer shots. Upcoming campaign events, additional polling releases, or formal alliance announcements before October could shift momentum by clarifying voter preferences among the leading names.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Linhares Jiboia remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Norte ?

Linhares Jiboia remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Norte ?

46%
Oui
icon for Will Pimenta win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Pimenta win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

46%
icon for Pimenta remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Sul ?

Pimenta remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Sul ?

44%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 1ère place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 14 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Samanda de Lula » à 45%, suivi de « Sandro Pimentel » à 45%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 1ère place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 1ère place », parcourez les 14 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 1ère place » est « Samanda de Lula » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Sandro Pimentel » à 45%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 1ère place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.