Skip to main content
Market icon

Participation aux élections législatives hongroises de 2026

Market icon

Participation aux élections législatives hongroises de 2026

77–80 % 95.0%

Plus de 80 % 3.0%

74–77 % <1%

Inférieur à 65 % <1%

Polymarket

$1,335,112 Vol.

77–80 % 95.0%

Plus de 80 % 3.0%

74–77 % <1%

Inférieur à 65 % <1%

Polymarket

$1,335,112 Vol.

La participation électorale sera-t-elle inférieure à 65 % lors des élections législatives hongroises de 2026 ? icon

Inférieur à 65 %

$94,991 Vol.

<1%

La participation des électeurs sera-t-elle de 65 à 68 % lors des élections parlementaires hongroises de 2026 ? icon

65–68 %

$55,445 Vol.

<1%

La participation électorale sera-t-elle de 68 à 71 % lors des élections législatives hongroises de 2026 ? icon

68–71 %

$136,655 Vol.

<1%

La participation électorale sera-t-elle comprise entre 71 et 74 % lors des élections législatives hongroises de 2026 ? icon

71–74 %

$131,921 Vol.

<1%

La participation électorale sera-t-elle de 74 à 77 % lors des élections parlementaires hongroises de 2026 ? icon

74–77 %

$277,154 Vol.

<1%

La participation électorale sera-t-elle de 77 à 80 % lors des élections parlementaires hongroises de 2026 ? icon

77–80 %

$251,824 Vol.

95%

La participation électorale sera-t-elle supérieure à 80 % lors des élections législatives hongroises de 2026 ? icon

Plus de 80 %

$387,122 Vol.

3%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Preliminary data from Hungary's National Election Commission shows voter turnout reached a record 77.8% as polls closed on April 12 in the parliamentary election for the National Assembly, surpassing the prior high of about 73% in 2022 and driving trader consensus to price the 77–80% outcome at 95%. Intense mobilization amid a closely contested race between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party—polls had projected Tisza leads up to 56%—spurred historic participation across urban and rural areas, with early voting exceeding past benchmarks by midday. Final certification awaits overseas and provisional ballots, but significant downward shifts appear unlikely barring counting discrepancies; upward movement to 80%+ could stem from late tallies.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$1,335,112
Date de fin
12 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Preliminary data from Hungary's National Election Commission shows voter turnout reached a record 77.8% as polls closed on April 12 in the parliamentary election for the National Assembly, surpassing the prior high of about 73% in 2022 and driving trader consensus to price the 77–80% outcome at 95%. Intense mobilization amid a closely contested race between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party—polls had projected Tisza leads up to 56%—spurred historic participation across urban and rural areas, with early voting exceeding past benchmarks by midday. Final certification awaits overseas and provisional ballots, but significant downward shifts appear unlikely barring counting discrepancies; upward movement to 80%+ could stem from late tallies.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$1,335,112
Date de fin
12 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Participation aux élections législatives hongroises de 2026 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 77–80 % » à 95%, suivi de « Plus de 80 % » à 3%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 95¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Participation aux élections législatives hongroises de 2026 » a généré $1.3 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 13, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Participation aux élections législatives hongroises de 2026 », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Participation aux élections législatives hongroises de 2026 » est « 77–80 % » à 95%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Plus de 80 % » à 3%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Participation aux élections législatives hongroises de 2026 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.