U.S. recognition of Russian sovereignty over Crimea remains unlikely before 2027 due to sustained Ukrainian rejection of any such concession, bipartisan congressional resistance including proposed legislation to codify non-recognition, and the absence of a finalized peace agreement advancing territorial terms. Proposals floated by the Trump administration in 2025 for de jure recognition as part of Ukraine war settlement talks encountered immediate pushback from Kyiv, European allies, and U.S. lawmakers citing prior policy like the 2018 Crimea Declaration and sanctions statutes. Negotiations have since stalled amid ongoing military developments and procedural hurdles, with recent assessments highlighting significant obstacles to implementation by the end of 2026. Trader consensus at 90.5% against reflects these entrenched political and institutional constraints on executive action.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$72,487 Vol.
$72,487 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$72,487 Vol.
$72,487 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
U.S. recognition of Russian sovereignty over Crimea remains unlikely before 2027 due to sustained Ukrainian rejection of any such concession, bipartisan congressional resistance including proposed legislation to codify non-recognition, and the absence of a finalized peace agreement advancing territorial terms. Proposals floated by the Trump administration in 2025 for de jure recognition as part of Ukraine war settlement talks encountered immediate pushback from Kyiv, European allies, and U.S. lawmakers citing prior policy like the 2018 Crimea Declaration and sanctions statutes. Negotiations have since stalled amid ongoing military developments and procedural hurdles, with recent assessments highlighting significant obstacles to implementation by the end of 2026. Trader consensus at 90.5% against reflects these entrenched political and institutional constraints on executive action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 12:50 PM ET
Volume
$72,487Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
U.S. recognition of Russian sovereignty over Crimea remains unlikely before 2027 due to sustained Ukrainian rejection of any such concession, bipartisan congressional resistance including proposed legislation to codify non-recognition, and the absence of a finalized peace agreement advancing territorial terms. Proposals floated by the Trump administration in 2025 for de jure recognition as part of Ukraine war settlement talks encountered immediate pushback from Kyiv, European allies, and U.S. lawmakers citing prior policy like the 2018 Crimea Declaration and sanctions statutes. Negotiations have since stalled amid ongoing military developments and procedural hurdles, with recent assessments highlighting significant obstacles to implementation by the end of 2026. Trader consensus at 90.5% against reflects these entrenched political and institutional constraints on executive action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$72,487Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. recognition of Russian sovereignty over Crimea remains unlikely before 2027 due to sustained Ukrainian rejection of any such concession, bipartisan congressional resistance including proposed legislation to codify non-recognition, and the absence of a finalized peace agreement advancing territorial terms. Proposals floated by the Trump administration in 2025 for de jure recognition as part of Ukraine war settlement talks encountered immediate pushback from Kyiv, European allies, and U.S. lawmakers citing prior policy like the 2018 Crimea Declaration and sanctions statutes. Negotiations have since stalled amid ongoing military developments and procedural hurdles, with recent assessments highlighting significant obstacles to implementation by the end of 2026. Trader consensus at 90.5% against reflects these entrenched political and institutional constraints on executive action.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes