Tom Begich holds a commanding lead in recent polls for Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, driven by strong name recognition and consolidation of Democratic support in a field of 17 candidates where Republicans face significant vote splitting. Bernadette Wilson has emerged as the top Republican contender by consolidating conservative backing, while Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins also polls competitively. Other entrants, including Dave Bronson, Click Bishop, and Treg Taylor, trail due to fragmented support and lower visibility ahead of the open primary, which advances the highest vote-getters regardless of party to a ranked-choice general election. Late withdrawals such as Matt Claman have narrowed the field slightly without altering frontrunner positioning, and any final endorsements or turnout shifts could influence the exact quartet before results are certified.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$251,404 Vol.

Tom Begich
99%

Bernadette Wilson
91%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
80%

Dave Bronson
53%

Treg Taylor
31%

Click Bishop
33%

Bill Walker
19%

Adam Crum
9%

Shelley Hughes
4%

Lesil McGuire
2%

Jessica Faircloth
2%

Bruce Walden
2%

Hank Kroll
1%

Matt Heilala
1%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%

Matt Claman
1%

Edna DeVries
1%

Gregg Brelsford
<1%

Nancy Dahlstrom
<1%

James Parkin
<1%
$251,404 Vol.

Tom Begich
99%

Bernadette Wilson
91%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
80%

Dave Bronson
53%

Treg Taylor
31%

Click Bishop
33%

Bill Walker
19%

Adam Crum
9%

Shelley Hughes
4%

Lesil McGuire
2%

Jessica Faircloth
2%

Bruce Walden
2%

Hank Kroll
1%

Matt Heilala
1%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%

Matt Claman
1%

Edna DeVries
1%

Gregg Brelsford
<1%

Nancy Dahlstrom
<1%

James Parkin
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Marché ouvert : Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tom Begich holds a commanding lead in recent polls for Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, driven by strong name recognition and consolidation of Democratic support in a field of 17 candidates where Republicans face significant vote splitting. Bernadette Wilson has emerged as the top Republican contender by consolidating conservative backing, while Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins also polls competitively. Other entrants, including Dave Bronson, Click Bishop, and Treg Taylor, trail due to fragmented support and lower visibility ahead of the open primary, which advances the highest vote-getters regardless of party to a ranked-choice general election. Late withdrawals such as Matt Claman have narrowed the field slightly without altering frontrunner positioning, and any final endorsements or turnout shifts could influence the exact quartet before results are certified.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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