Apple’s established September launch cadence and the company’s September 9, 2026 event announcing iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable models have anchored trader consensus near certainty for a 2026 release of the iPhone 18 series. Supply-chain reports, consistent historical timing after Labor Day, and official event confirmation reinforce this view, with traders treating the Pro lineup as satisfying the market criteria. While the base iPhone 18 and related models face reported delays into spring 2027 due to expanded lineup segmentation and manufacturing priorities, such shifts do not alter the 2026 outcome for the flagship series. Potential last-minute disruptions remain limited to extreme supply issues or regulatory actions unlikely to halt the already underway rollout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
>99% chance
$251,958 Vol.
$251,958 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
>99% chance
$251,958 Vol.
$251,958 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s established September launch cadence and the company’s September 9, 2026 event announcing iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable models have anchored trader consensus near certainty for a 2026 release of the iPhone 18 series. Supply-chain reports, consistent historical timing after Labor Day, and official event confirmation reinforce this view, with traders treating the Pro lineup as satisfying the market criteria. While the base iPhone 18 and related models face reported delays into spring 2027 due to expanded lineup segmentation and manufacturing priorities, such shifts do not alter the 2026 outcome for the flagship series. Potential last-minute disruptions remain limited to extreme supply issues or regulatory actions unlikely to halt the already underway rollout.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Volume
$251,958Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s established September launch cadence and the company’s September 9, 2026 event announcing iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable models have anchored trader consensus near certainty for a 2026 release of the iPhone 18 series. Supply-chain reports, consistent historical timing after Labor Day, and official event confirmation reinforce this view, with traders treating the Pro lineup as satisfying the market criteria. While the base iPhone 18 and related models face reported delays into spring 2027 due to expanded lineup segmentation and manufacturing priorities, such shifts do not alter the 2026 outcome for the flagship series. Potential last-minute disruptions remain limited to extreme supply issues or regulatory actions unlikely to halt the already underway rollout.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$251,958Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Apple’s established September launch cadence and the company’s September 9, 2026 event announcing iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable models have anchored trader consensus near certainty for a 2026 release of the iPhone 18 series. Supply-chain reports, consistent historical timing after Labor Day, and official event confirmation reinforce this view, with traders treating the Pro lineup as satisfying the market criteria. While the base iPhone 18 and related models face reported delays into spring 2027 due to expanded lineup segmentation and manufacturing priorities, such shifts do not alter the 2026 outcome for the flagship series. Potential last-minute disruptions remain limited to extreme supply issues or regulatory actions unlikely to halt the already underway rollout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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