Mark DeSaulnier, the Democratic incumbent since 2015, advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary with roughly 60% of the vote in California's 10th congressional district, a deep-blue East Bay seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+18. The district's strong Democratic voter registration, consistent performance in prior cycles, and limited Republican opposition—led by Jeff Frese, who finished a distant second—underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major recent developments altering the landscape, the position reflects established patterns of incumbency advantage and district lean. Realistic challenges remain narrow and would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift to meaningfully alter the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -10 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -10 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$18,454 वॉल्यूम
$18,454 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$18,454 वॉल्यूम
$18,454 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,750 वॉल्यूम
95%
Republican Party
$6,705 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark DeSaulnier, the Democratic incumbent since 2015, advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary with roughly 60% of the vote in California's 10th congressional district, a deep-blue East Bay seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+18. The district's strong Democratic voter registration, consistent performance in prior cycles, and limited Republican opposition—led by Jeff Frese, who finished a distant second—underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major recent developments altering the landscape, the position reflects established patterns of incumbency advantage and district lean. Realistic challenges remain narrow and would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,454समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark DeSaulnier, the Democratic incumbent since 2015, advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary with roughly 60% of the vote in California's 10th congressional district, a deep-blue East Bay seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+18. The district's strong Democratic voter registration, consistent performance in prior cycles, and limited Republican opposition—led by Jeff Frese, who finished a distant second—underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major recent developments altering the landscape, the position reflects established patterns of incumbency advantage and district lean. Realistic challenges remain narrow and would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$18,454समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark DeSaulnier, the Democratic incumbent since 2015, advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary with roughly 60% of the vote in California's 10th congressional district, a deep-blue East Bay seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+18. The district's strong Democratic voter registration, consistent performance in prior cycles, and limited Republican opposition—led by Jeff Frese, who finished a distant second—underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major recent developments altering the landscape, the position reflects established patterns of incumbency advantage and district lean. Realistic challenges remain narrow and would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift to meaningfully alter the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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