California's 26th congressional district leans strongly Democratic, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results favoring the party. Incumbent Julia Brownley is retiring, but state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary and advances to the November general election against Republican Sam Gallucci. Independent analyses rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's voter registration patterns, California's overall partisan balance, and historical performance in similar open seats. A significant late scandal, health issue, or unforeseen national swing could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make a Republican victory improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -26 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
CA -26 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$29,469 वॉल्यूम
$29,469 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
6%
$29,469 वॉल्यूम
$29,469 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$15,850 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$13,619 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district leans strongly Democratic, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results favoring the party. Incumbent Julia Brownley is retiring, but state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary and advances to the November general election against Republican Sam Gallucci. Independent analyses rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's voter registration patterns, California's overall partisan balance, and historical performance in similar open seats. A significant late scandal, health issue, or unforeseen national swing could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make a Republican victory improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,469समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district leans strongly Democratic, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results favoring the party. Incumbent Julia Brownley is retiring, but state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary and advances to the November general election against Republican Sam Gallucci. Independent analyses rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's voter registration patterns, California's overall partisan balance, and historical performance in similar open seats. A significant late scandal, health issue, or unforeseen national swing could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make a Republican victory improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$29,469समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 26th congressional district leans strongly Democratic, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results favoring the party. Incumbent Julia Brownley is retiring, but state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary and advances to the November general election against Republican Sam Gallucci. Independent analyses rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's voter registration patterns, California's overall partisan balance, and historical performance in similar open seats. A significant late scandal, health issue, or unforeseen national swing could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make a Republican victory improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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