Jacqui Irwin holds a commanding position in the CA-26 House race as the Democratic nominee for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Julia Brownley. Her strong primary performance, where she captured roughly 41% in a crowded field, combined with endorsements from Brownley and Gov. Gavin Newsom, has solidified trader confidence. The district's Democratic lean—reflected in recent presidential margins and a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+9—along with Irwin's substantial fundraising edge and experience as a state assemblymember, underpin the 94.5% implied probability. Sam Gallucci, the Republican nominee and Oxnard pastor who advanced with about 21%, trails significantly in resources and name recognition. A major unforeseen event such as a late scandal, health crisis, or sharp national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully alter the current market consensus before the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -26 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
CA -26 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$32,175 वॉल्यूम
$32,175 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जैकी इरविन (डेमोक्रेट)
95%
सैम गल्लूची (रिपब्लिकन)
6%
$32,175 वॉल्यूम
$32,175 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जैकी इरविन (डेमोक्रेट)
$16,426 वॉल्यूम
95%
सैम गल्लूची (रिपब्लिकन)
$15,749 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin holds a commanding position in the CA-26 House race as the Democratic nominee for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Julia Brownley. Her strong primary performance, where she captured roughly 41% in a crowded field, combined with endorsements from Brownley and Gov. Gavin Newsom, has solidified trader confidence. The district's Democratic lean—reflected in recent presidential margins and a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+9—along with Irwin's substantial fundraising edge and experience as a state assemblymember, underpin the 94.5% implied probability. Sam Gallucci, the Republican nominee and Oxnard pastor who advanced with about 21%, trails significantly in resources and name recognition. A major unforeseen event such as a late scandal, health crisis, or sharp national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully alter the current market consensus before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$32,175समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin holds a commanding position in the CA-26 House race as the Democratic nominee for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Julia Brownley. Her strong primary performance, where she captured roughly 41% in a crowded field, combined with endorsements from Brownley and Gov. Gavin Newsom, has solidified trader confidence. The district's Democratic lean—reflected in recent presidential margins and a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+9—along with Irwin's substantial fundraising edge and experience as a state assemblymember, underpin the 94.5% implied probability. Sam Gallucci, the Republican nominee and Oxnard pastor who advanced with about 21%, trails significantly in resources and name recognition. A major unforeseen event such as a late scandal, health crisis, or sharp national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully alter the current market consensus before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$32,175समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Jacqui Irwin holds a commanding position in the CA-26 House race as the Democratic nominee for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Julia Brownley. Her strong primary performance, where she captured roughly 41% in a crowded field, combined with endorsements from Brownley and Gov. Gavin Newsom, has solidified trader confidence. The district's Democratic lean—reflected in recent presidential margins and a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+9—along with Irwin's substantial fundraising edge and experience as a state assemblymember, underpin the 94.5% implied probability. Sam Gallucci, the Republican nominee and Oxnard pastor who advanced with about 21%, trails significantly in resources and name recognition. A major unforeseen event such as a late scandal, health crisis, or sharp national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully alter the current market consensus before the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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