California's 26th congressional district has maintained a consistent Democratic lean through multiple election cycles, with the seat held by Democrats since 2013. Following incumbent Julia Brownley's decision not to seek re-election, the June 2026 jungle primary advanced Democrat Jacqui Irwin and Republican Sam Gallucci to the November general election. Recent redistricting further strengthened Democratic positioning statewide, aligning with broader patterns that favor the party in this Ventura County-based district. Current trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and historical margins, though outcomes could shift with unusually high Republican turnout or late national political developments affecting voter sentiment before November 3, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -26 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
CA -26 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$31,374 वॉल्यूम
$31,374 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
7%
$31,374 वॉल्यूम
$31,374 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$15,967 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$15,408 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district has maintained a consistent Democratic lean through multiple election cycles, with the seat held by Democrats since 2013. Following incumbent Julia Brownley's decision not to seek re-election, the June 2026 jungle primary advanced Democrat Jacqui Irwin and Republican Sam Gallucci to the November general election. Recent redistricting further strengthened Democratic positioning statewide, aligning with broader patterns that favor the party in this Ventura County-based district. Current trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and historical margins, though outcomes could shift with unusually high Republican turnout or late national political developments affecting voter sentiment before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$31,374समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district has maintained a consistent Democratic lean through multiple election cycles, with the seat held by Democrats since 2013. Following incumbent Julia Brownley's decision not to seek re-election, the June 2026 jungle primary advanced Democrat Jacqui Irwin and Republican Sam Gallucci to the November general election. Recent redistricting further strengthened Democratic positioning statewide, aligning with broader patterns that favor the party in this Ventura County-based district. Current trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and historical margins, though outcomes could shift with unusually high Republican turnout or late national political developments affecting voter sentiment before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$31,374समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 26th congressional district has maintained a consistent Democratic lean through multiple election cycles, with the seat held by Democrats since 2013. Following incumbent Julia Brownley's decision not to seek re-election, the June 2026 jungle primary advanced Democrat Jacqui Irwin and Republican Sam Gallucci to the November general election. Recent redistricting further strengthened Democratic positioning statewide, aligning with broader patterns that favor the party in this Ventura County-based district. Current trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and historical margins, though outcomes could shift with unusually high Republican turnout or late national political developments affecting voter sentiment before November 3, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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