Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing three months after the company's confidential SEC submission in January, which targeted a March debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Secondary market valuations have softened to $7–10 billion from the $15 billion 2021 peak amid tepid revenue growth estimates of $600–900 million annually and intensifying competition in social-communications platforms. Lower-valuation buckets like under $15 billion at 8.4% capture down-round risks if listing proceeds, while higher tiers languish below 2% absent revenue acceleration. Traders eye potential S-1 disclosure or further delays as key catalysts ahead of the mid-year deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 जून, 2026 तक आईपीओ नहीं 84%
<15B 7.8%
30B+ 1.8%
15–20B 1.7%
$850,128 वॉल्यूम
$850,128 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
<15B
8%
15–20B
2%
20–25B
1%
25–30B
1%
30B+
2%
30 जून, 2026 तक आईपीओ नहीं
84%
30 जून, 2026 तक आईपीओ नहीं 84%
<15B 7.8%
30B+ 1.8%
15–20B 1.7%
$850,128 वॉल्यूम
$850,128 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
<15B
$294,998 वॉल्यूम
8%
15–20B
$105,987 वॉल्यूम
2%
20–25B
$72,054 वॉल्यूम
1%
25–30B
$99,886 वॉल्यूम
1%
30B+
$90,529 वॉल्यूम
2%
30 जून, 2026 तक आईपीओ नहीं
$186,673 वॉल्यूम
84%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing three months after the company's confidential SEC submission in January, which targeted a March debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Secondary market valuations have softened to $7–10 billion from the $15 billion 2021 peak amid tepid revenue growth estimates of $600–900 million annually and intensifying competition in social-communications platforms. Lower-valuation buckets like under $15 billion at 8.4% capture down-round risks if listing proceeds, while higher tiers languish below 2% absent revenue acceleration. Traders eye potential S-1 disclosure or further delays as key catalysts ahead of the mid-year deadline.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$850,128समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing three months after the company's confidential SEC submission in January, which targeted a March debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Secondary market valuations have softened to $7–10 billion from the $15 billion 2021 peak amid tepid revenue growth estimates of $600–900 million annually and intensifying competition in social-communications platforms. Lower-valuation buckets like under $15 billion at 8.4% capture down-round risks if listing proceeds, while higher tiers languish below 2% absent revenue acceleration. Traders eye potential S-1 disclosure or further delays as key catalysts ahead of the mid-year deadline.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
वॉल्यूम
$850,128समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing three months after the company's confidential SEC submission in January, which targeted a March debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Secondary market valuations have softened to $7–10 billion from the $15 billion 2021 peak amid tepid revenue growth estimates of $600–900 million annually and intensifying competition in social-communications platforms. Lower-valuation buckets like under $15 billion at 8.4% capture down-round risks if listing proceeds, while higher tiers languish below 2% absent revenue acceleration. Traders eye potential S-1 disclosure or further delays as key catalysts ahead of the mid-year deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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