Trader consensus on Polymarket gives the 65-89 posts range a leading 38.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 16-18, reflecting his recent average of 35-41 daily posts during the April 10-17 window (243 total through April 15), tempered by a notable dip early in the prior April 13-15 period that started at just 5 posts before rebounding. The 40-64 bin at 28% captures expectations of weekend slowdowns, consistent with historical variability where three-day tallies like April 11-13 hit 115-139. Momentum from Tesla's AI5 chip tapeout announcement and Semi production hype has spurred today's activity, but quieter political cycles or SpaceX/Tesla obligations could moderate output. Watch for X Money rollout updates amid regulatory scrutiny, potentially spiking engagement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया65-89 39%
40-64 29%
90-114 19%
115-139 9%
$143,638 वॉल्यूम
$143,638 वॉल्यूम
18 अप्रैल, 2026
<40
4%
40-64
29%
65-89
39%
90-114
19%
115-139
9%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 39%
40-64 29%
90-114 19%
115-139 9%
$143,638 वॉल्यूम
$143,638 वॉल्यूम
18 अप्रैल, 2026
<40
$30,258 वॉल्यूम
4%
40-64
$10,128 वॉल्यूम
29%
65-89
$4,956 वॉल्यूम
39%
90-114
$6,901 वॉल्यूम
19%
115-139
$8,913 वॉल्यूम
9%
140-164
$9,556 वॉल्यूम
3%
165-189
$18,091 वॉल्यूम
1%
190-214
$22,084 वॉल्यूम
<1%
215-239
$10,111 वॉल्यूम
<1%
240+
$22,650 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives the 65-89 posts range a leading 38.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 16-18, reflecting his recent average of 35-41 daily posts during the April 10-17 window (243 total through April 15), tempered by a notable dip early in the prior April 13-15 period that started at just 5 posts before rebounding. The 40-64 bin at 28% captures expectations of weekend slowdowns, consistent with historical variability where three-day tallies like April 11-13 hit 115-139. Momentum from Tesla's AI5 chip tapeout announcement and Semi production hype has spurred today's activity, but quieter political cycles or SpaceX/Tesla obligations could moderate output. Watch for X Money rollout updates amid regulatory scrutiny, potentially spiking engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$143,638समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives the 65-89 posts range a leading 38.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 16-18, reflecting his recent average of 35-41 daily posts during the April 10-17 window (243 total through April 15), tempered by a notable dip early in the prior April 13-15 period that started at just 5 posts before rebounding. The 40-64 bin at 28% captures expectations of weekend slowdowns, consistent with historical variability where three-day tallies like April 11-13 hit 115-139. Momentum from Tesla's AI5 chip tapeout announcement and Semi production hype has spurred today's activity, but quieter political cycles or SpaceX/Tesla obligations could moderate output. Watch for X Money rollout updates amid regulatory scrutiny, potentially spiking engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$143,638समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives the 65-89 posts range a leading 38.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 16-18, reflecting his recent average of 35-41 daily posts during the April 10-17 window (243 total through April 15), tempered by a notable dip early in the prior April 13-15 period that started at just 5 posts before rebounding. The 40-64 bin at 28% captures expectations of weekend slowdowns, consistent with historical variability where three-day tallies like April 11-13 hit 115-139. Momentum from Tesla's AI5 chip tapeout announcement and Semi production hype has spurred today's activity, but quieter political cycles or SpaceX/Tesla obligations could moderate output. Watch for X Money rollout updates amid regulatory scrutiny, potentially spiking engagement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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